Right, but 49+12 = 61. Lieberman, Landreiu, Nebraska Nelson, Salazar ... I only need seven more. You've got Baucus, Byrd, McCaskill, Pryor, Lincoln, Florida Nelson, and who knows which other moderates might go wobbly.
A good deal for immigrants currently in the states.
As far as I can tell, conservative Republicans traded a long fence that won't work for a short fence that won't work and accepted passage, while Democrats gave up a path to citizenship for guest workers. The mass deportations just weren't going to happen.
If guest workers are allowed to apply for green cards, then it's not a bad deal. Employers will have lots of leverage over guest workers, but they would have had that over any "path to citizenship" scenario. If they can apply for green cards it's roughly the same thing, just with lots of extra steps.
Has Clinton announced for President? Or just announced an exploratory committee? The exploratory committee is precluded from engaging in certain activities, which might help save her money. Also her various advisers might still be on the payroll for her PAC.
Each of the three major Dems has a very different donor base.
Obama averaged $138 from his 50K online donors (the highest), and $362 from his 50K offline donors. I believe he cites 90% of contributions under $100 (though some may be contributing twice).
Edwards averaged around $80 from his 30K online donors and $1070 from his 10K offline donors. He cites 80% of contributions under $100.
Clinton ... it's unclear. But it's likely that her online donations are somewhere between Obama's & Edwards, which means she averaged $100 from 40K online donors and $2080 from 10K offline donors. She's probably around 70% of contributions under $100.
It is hard to tell from just these few numbers ... we will need the full 4/15 filings ... but it looks like Obama's campaign has more low dollar contributions, and has a lot of contributions from people who couldn't or wouldn't max out, but could give $250 or $500. It's possible that Obama has as much as 40% of his money coming from low dollar donors, and Edwards as much as 30%. We'll have to wait and see.
My assumption is that all articles bring the social issues because they know that Giuliani will be subject to a vicious attack.
Mel Martinez won his Senate primary by attacking his main rival for being "the darling of the homosexual lobby" for voting for hate crimes legislation. It's total death in the Republican primary, more than anything on the Democratic side except saying you want to fiddle with Social Security (which no one ever says). It will take one TV ad and one direct mail piece, and it will be over.
Man, the Democratic base has the idea of compromise so thoroughly beaten into it, it is really kind of sad. Even though nine in ten Democrats oppose the war, fully half say that supporting it was a good idea back in 2002?
I believe that approval for the war at the very beginning was about 70% in the general public, which means about 50% of Democrats supported the war. I thought the figure would be lower (around 40%), but not that much lower.