Yet another reason why HRC's a great VP argument
by yankeeinmemphis, Mon Jun 09, 2008 at 02:54:27 PM EDT
While there has been a great deal of talk concerning the 'baggage' of HRC, I would contend that such baggage - while real - will have virtually no effect on the GE. If Dick Cheney and Dan Quayle proved anything, they proved that VP's cannot LOSE elections. I don't think Cheney brought ANYTHING but negatives for GWB and yet he still triumphed. Repubs don't rally around a 'VP candidate'...so I really don't think HRC's going to rally the Repub troops as a VP.
So, what is HRC's best asset? We know about her strengths with Latino, Catholic and Appalachian blue-collar voters, but here's the key for me:
HRC actually can pull in SINGLE women who are, by far, the most difficult group to get to the polls. More after the flip.
One thing we know is this: if single women voters or potential voters came out en masse, Democrats would win quite a few more elections. That said, HRC's big weakness, imo, was/is her lack of ground game. I say this because many of HRC supporters simply don't have the time and the argument could be made that HRC's bad 'caucus state' showing is evidence of a poor ground game.
Thus, if you combine BO's solid ground game with HRC's appeal to single women voters, we could pull in that extra 1% of the electorate that could really make a difference.
I think that HRC's appeal to many 'casual' voters (i.e. the kind that don't pay too much attention to politics for whatever reason and there are PLENTY of good reasons why) who may not normally vote is actually pretty strong and well offsets her potential to bring anti-HRC casual voters to the polls in the GE.
Obviously, it would be great for party unity, but I think HRC brings more to the plate than just unity.
As far as BO's 'change' meme, I think that that meme is fine and that HRC as VP helps that change meme more than it hurts it. Let's put it this way:
BO says we need change. Ok, fine. So, what says 'change' more than a historic black male/white female ticket? Not much.
I don't think HRC as VP dilutes the change meme at all and, in my opinion, actually strengthens it.