Thank You, student guy. It is an important effort to revive mydd. Unfortunately, the diary situation here is an embarrassment here. For lively discussion on issues, mydd is no longer the place to go. Rather than push the boulder uphill, why not go to dailykos, openleft, and many other places where you don't have to deal with the loud constant noise of all the campaign bitterness.
Hillary has to win by over 20% to exceed expectations and to establish any momentum. Anything less would be a terrible disappointment as a senator from a neighboring state who has been endorsed by the Philly mayor and the Governor, with their political machine.
If Obama has been able to tighten things up from the orginal 20 point spread, then obviously the momentum is not on her side. Funny how we have not been hearing her campaign state lately how PA is the most important state in the primary, and that the road to the White House passes through PA. Apparently, they don't think they can win by 20% anymore.
So do you really think that Massachusetts would be competitive for McCain, vs Obama, in the GE?
It's not just that it's only April. The main issue with this post's inference is that we are in the midst of a primary (even thoough the outcome is pretty clear), and people are responding to pollsters in that context.
honest and trustworthy, in my opinion, is not the Tuzla untruths, but because of her faux outrage and concern trolling about the Wright and Bitter comments. I believe that most people see through her obvious (to me) dissingenuineness. It is an authenticity problem.
who have done the math. Look at the prediction markets, like intrade.com
Hillary futures have been trading under $20 (roughly equivalent to prediction of a 20% chance of winning the nomination). If Hillary really had a decent change, lots of rational people would be bidding up the price.
Intrade provides a better indirect indicator of the direction of the campaign. Obama is trading at about 7:1 better than Hillary. If Hillary had a serious chance to win, observers would have a powerful incentive to bet on her campaign, but as you can see from the link below, few people seem to want to bet on her. And the perceived odds of her victory are steadily sinking.
Any contrarians who believe in Hillary's prospects should puts some money up!
I thought Hillary didn't respect the value of "speeches."
Seems to me that Hillary campaign waited until late Friday to minimize attention, and chose this weekend so they have a bit of time to weather the storm before the PA primary.
It may be hard for Hillary to plead for contributions to her never-ending excellent adventure, now that we know how deep her pockets are today. And just think of all the $$$ she could dream of making in speeches herself!
President Hillary would have meant lots of speech money ($52M?). But of course, being presidential candidate Hillary will produce more speech money than Senator Hillary!