Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

CNN is just releasing a poll showing Edwards is doing the best against all Republicans and has the highest margin of victory in General Election matchups.
http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2007/images/12/11 /tue6ampoll.pdf

Interviews with 1,002 adult Americans conducted by telephone
by Opinion Research Corporation on December 6-9, 2007. The
margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample
is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, DECEMBER 11 AT 6 AM

http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/12/10/p oll.head.to.head/index.html

Edwards performs best against each of the leading Republicans. In addition to beating Huckabee by 25 percent and McCain by 8 percent, the North Carolina Democrat beats Romney by 22 percentage points (59 percent to 37 percent).

This is some good news to focus on and to stay above the fray of the negative campaigning that will be going on in this last few weeks.

UPdate: Just read this and thought I would add it in, cause of the way it sounds...

Standing outside the "Main Street Express" bus inside the Polk County Convention Center, John Edwards kicked off an 8-day tour of Iowa telling supporters that it's "crunch time" and urged them to caucus for him on January 3rd.

If you "stand up for me," Edwards told the union-heavy crowd, "I will stand up for you."

Edwards told the union-heavy crowd who interrupted the speech with"President Edwards" chants that "it is time for America to rise again."

"President Edwards"
"President Edwards"
"President Edwards"
"President Edwards"
"President Edwards"

Happy Tuesday

Tags: 2008 elections, John Edwards, Presidential, Primary (all tags)

Comments

37 Comments

Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

It's a good poll for Democrats, but the only problem I have is that it is of ADULTS, not REGISTERED voters or even LIKELY voters.

by RJEvans 2007-12-11 05:15AM | 0 recs
The trial heats

are based on registered voters.

A couple of things to note:

  1.  McCain now runs better than Guiliani.  Guiliani now trails Clinton by 6, Obama by 7.  The stories about his mis-use of public funds might have hit him.
  2.  McCain now beats Clinton by 2, and ties Obama.

These trial heats have varied considerably depending on the pollster.

by fladem 2007-12-11 05:26AM | 0 recs
The trial heats

are based on registered voters.

A couple of things to note:

  1.  McCain now runs better than Guiliani.  Guiliani now trails Clinton by 6, Obama by 7.  The stories about his mis-use of public funds might have hit him.
  2.  McCain now beats Clinton by 2, and ties Obama.

These trial heats have varied considerably depending on the pollster.

by fladem 2007-12-11 05:27AM | 0 recs
CRUSHES BOTH

by marketingman 2007-12-11 05:51AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

that's the same stunt they pulled with that poll that said 1%  were moved by oprah. they didn't poll voters.

by jello 2007-12-13 03:24AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Electability is very important.  Of the leading Democratic candididates, the most progressive one (Edwards) is also the most electable.  Edwards can win in red states and will have tremendous coattails.

A Edwards landslide against Huckabee could bring historic change to Washington, D.C., including large Democratic majorities in the Congress and real progressive change on substantive issues across the board - universal health care, Iraq, Social Security, Medicare, the environment, education, jobs & the economy, energy policy, media ownership, federal judges, trade policy, taxes, etc.  Just imagine what Edwards could accomplish with a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate.

Or we can go with the Corporate Democrats (Clinton or Obama) and risk a GOP win in Nov 08, a narrow Congressional majority, and play around with the edges of major policy for another 4 or 8 years as Senate Republicans filibuster to preserve pro-corporate policy at every turn.

If you want change in DC, vote for Edwards.  If you want more of the same, vote for the other guys.

by Bear83 2007-12-11 05:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Exactly!!  we'll never take our country back as long as Dems are distracted by the media's shiny new objects.

by annefrank 2007-12-12 09:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Hillary is still the less electable candidate.

I think Huckabee's numbers will improve so take his numbers with a grain of salt...If he wins Iowa , i expect his head to head match up numbers to rise.

by Prodigy 2007-12-11 05:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I don't know.

I'm hoping Huck gets the nomination, 'cos I feel more comfortable running against him than Rudy or McCain or even Mitt.

Yeah, we'll lose the South, but we'll be losing the South for awhile anyway.

I just don't want Rudy or McCain to flip over the chess board by making us defend our own turf.

by Bush Bites 2007-12-11 08:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I respectfully disagree, because the Bush/Cheney undertow will suck ANY Republican under in the states they didn't carry in 2004.  If Bush is down to 30%-35% approval nationally, where is he at in the blue states?  The danger is illusory there.

The opportunity is in the South, where Rudy and Mitt will not play well.  Neither, sadly, will Hillary or Barack.  John Edwards can deliver in those states, or at the very least, force the Republicans to spend resources otherwise used in Ohio, Iowa, New Mexico, and Nevada.  

by CLLGADEM 2007-12-12 12:52AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP
Obama or Hillary would be a GIFT to the GOP!
But Dem damn Yankees can't see it.
by annefrank 2007-12-12 09:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Hey! Don't blame us Yankees. I grew up in Mass and now live in NY. I was for Edwards in '04 and am for Edwards now. I know that he's the ne who actually could win the election. Too many people here seem to think it's about the nomination and not the general election.

by sinclair 2007-12-13 02:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I'm surprised Edwards is doing so well.

Can't really figure it out, actually.

Guess he could have some kind of "Jimmy Carter '76" aura about him--Southern populist coming to clean up the mess in Washington and be a "different kind of president."

Anyway, good for him.

by Bush Bites 2007-12-11 08:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Edwards does only marginally better than Obama, and they both do better than Clinton.  Obama tying McCain is impressive.

The problem with Edwards is that he will run out of money.  He won't be able to fight back when T. Boone Pickens dumps $40 million in attack ads.  One of the blessings of Obama's shorter record is that there is less to attack.  Obama is also simply a better candidate.

And, finally, I know around here moderation is a bad word, but it helps that Obama is more moderate than Edwards.  Whites, particularly white men, think Edwards is a socialist who wants to empty the government coffers.  Obama is seen is more pragmatic, and frankly smarter.  

by Javier Doval 2007-12-11 09:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Edwards wouldn't run out of money. Money would simply flow to the DNC and independant groups that would be able to respond to attack ads just as easily and as well as Edwards could directly. That arguement is just plain silly.

Your personal experience seems to be different from what polls have shown as it's Edwards who comes accross as the moderate (despite the platform he's running on) and rural people, moderates, conservatives, and republicans don't mind him so much at all.

by Quinton 2007-12-11 02:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Against who? McCain and Huckabee? They're the poorest candidates yet! Romney? He spent what, 10 million in Iowa and he's still losing. Do you really think that a possible fundraising edge will put him over the top nationwide?

by KainIIIC 2007-12-11 03:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Obama is more moderate than Edwards

Javier,

you're not implying moderate white men choose Obama over Edwards, are you?

In most of the states, a majority of white men votes Republican for almost 40 years now - because they are afraid of the black man.

If I were Obama, I wouldn't count on these guys, not for a minute.

by aufklaerer 2007-12-12 07:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

We still have an Electoral College system, and Obama (see SUSA polls) does poorly in Electoral College state-by-state polls. Both Edwards and Clinton do better.

by sherrylynn 2007-12-11 10:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

you know, order of questions asked has an affect in polling. i noticed the SUSA polls always place hillary as the first question.

by jello 2007-12-13 03:28AM | 0 recs
Wow... simply wow.

These are damning results. 25 and 22 points ahead, respectively, on the two Republican frontrunners? Highest margins against all candidates? With numbers like these, we're looking to a 1964 whomping. I know Edwards is easily most electable, but a 25 point margin against the Republican frontrunner? Talk about lovely coattails.

If you want not only a progressive president elected, but also coattails of 30+ house Dems and 8+ Dem Senators being elected in office, support Edwards. If you want narrow wins, support Hillary.

by KainIIIC 2007-12-11 11:41AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow... simply wow.
The Corporate media prefers Centrists like Hillary. But she couldn't run "alone" so they've promoted rockstar Obama - to go along for the money and media ride.
Obama won't win the nomination, it's doubtful Hillary could win the general - but Edwards would.
And the corporate media knows it.
by annefrank 2007-12-12 09:13AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow... simply wow.

paul begala said obama could win the general if he became the nominee. as could hillary, as could dem who won the nomination. wonder what numbers he's looking at.

by jello 2007-12-13 03:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Wow... simply wow.

as could any dem, rather

by jello 2007-12-13 03:32AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

What amazes me most is that Edwards is the most progressive of the three major Democratic candidates.  He is also the richest of them.  Yet because he is a self-made man who has lived the American dream, and really connects with middle-class America.  His populist message is what we need at this time.  The Republicans have used Hillary Clinton to campaign against Robin Weirach and Phil Forgit already.  Imagine next November.

by Vox Populi 2007-12-11 12:55PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Who cares? He needs to do a better job against the democrats or its a moot point. He is polling about 10% of the democratic vote right now! Its hard to see how someone who has been running for President for about 6 years and is only polling 10% is a viable candidate. Democrats know John Edwards and they don't like him much.

This electability stuff  by the way is poppycock. Who knows at this point who will be electable? Personally I think its Obama but I can't be sure. One statement like Kerry's "I voted for it before I voted against it.." and the democratic candidate is toast. I mean Kerry looked super electable , right? Was super electable according to the polls. One swiftboat attack later he was not so electable.

And in any case whats the point if a candidate is electable? I care about who I want to vote for in the primary. I'm not going to vote for someone beacuse a poll comes out saying other people might like him in an election one full year later.

give me a break.

by crackityjones 2007-12-11 01:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Kerry never looked super-electable to me, and never polled above Bush at this stage in the race.  Edwards has the highest approval rating in Iowa, with 69% to ~60% for each Hillary and Obama.

by Vox Populi 2007-12-11 01:04PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

He is right.  Kerry was chosen largely because he seemed very electable.  The idea was that with his military experience and as a decorated war hero he would have a strong push against the typical slam against Democrats to be weak on national defense.  All it took was one blip to change it all around.  The war hero stuff became a liability instead of an asset.

by georgep 2007-12-11 05:22PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I remember that some thought that way.  Personally I was behind Dean, with Edwards a close second and Clark a close third.  Edwards and Clark were probably more electable than Kerry and it's unfortunate that neither were able to be the nominee.  Otherwise they would be running for re-election.

by Vox Populi 2007-12-11 05:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

It's ridiculous to say Democrats don't like John Edwards much when he has approval ratings in the neighborhood of 75-80% among Democrats, just like all the other leading candidates.

Clinton and Obama are quite clearly sucking up all the media oxygen in this cycle.  We'll see how Edwards does in Iowa and if it changes the media narrative.

by Steve M 2007-12-11 01:28PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

Curiously it is Huckabee who is starting to asphyxiate the field right now, probably much to Hillary's frustration.  Though she is getting the most 'clips' I'm guessing they are not all good.  Though Obama and Hillary are still batting better than Huckabee he is coming along strongly, you might find these TV numbers interesting.

by Shaun Appleby 2007-12-12 01:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

In the end, Obama will still be in the Senate - and a lot of young people will have registered Democratic.

by annefrank 2007-12-12 09:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I think Edwards lack of coverage is only helping his numbers at least in these general election polls.  Everybody sees a southern white guy that hasn't pissed them off yet.  

by Justify My Vote 2007-12-11 01:46PM | 0 recs
exactly
he has not been vetted by the media.  If he were even close to being a front runner he would have been discussed and picked apart and he would not be doing so well.
The amazing thing is that Clinton is still doing so well after 2 months of non stop media ripping her apart.
by MollieBradford 2007-12-12 04:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Not Well Vetted

Oh, BS, Mollie. Edwards went through a general presdidential election. He's been vetted at a level that Obama never thought of. Hillary's, obviously, the most scrutinized, but it's a silly and weak argument to try and pretend that Edwards hasn't had media types trying to find every piece of dirt they could for four years. Gee, I guess it's just because he doesn't have any skeletons.

by Hoomai29 2007-12-12 11:33AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

I never thought I'd say this, but I hope Edwards well.  Seeing the type of person that Obama is capable of and the extent to which he's willing to put himself above the progressive cause, topped with insulting Krugman, I find it difficult to vote for him.

I will, of course, reluctantly, should he be nominated.

Edwards has certainly become my second choice.  

by FilbertSF 2007-12-11 06:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

who knew quoting somebody's own words was a sin?

by jello 2007-12-13 03:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Latest poll, Edwards does best against GOP

If you "stand up for me," Edwards told the union-heavy crowd, "I will stand up for you."

which leads to the question: why didn't he stand up for them before?

by jello 2007-12-13 03:34AM | 0 recs

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