Clinton Drags Down Swing-State Dems
by Vox Populi, Sun Sep 23, 2007 at 10:41:46 AM EDT
Opponents of Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign have suggested that she may be too polarizing and would in fact carry negative coattails, dragging down our Democratic candidates in swing congressional districts.
Now, a study conducted by a former Clinton pollster, Celinda lake, gives credence to those fears. From the Washington Post article on the study: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con tent/article/2007/09/22/AR2007092201024_ pf.html
A recent survey by Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, however, showed Clinton and Obama trailing former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani (R) in the 31 Democratic-held House districts regarded as most imperiled in 2008, and even potentially serving as a drag on those lawmakers' reelection chances.
How badly does Clinton impact the Congressional races?
While the average lead of Democratic House members stands at 19 percentage points in the 31 vulnerable districts -- all but two of which are part of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's incumbent-protection program known as Frontline -- that number sinks considerably when the lawmakers are linked to either front-runner.
"Some people say [your Democratic incumbent] is a strong supporter of Hillary Clinton and will support her liberal agenda of big government and higher taxes if she becomes president," the poll stated, before asking respondents whether they would still vote for their incumbent or choose a Republican candidate.
Clinton has a "very polarized image" in the districts
With Clinton at the top of the ticket, the Democratic incumbents in swing districts go from a large lead to a very narrow lead.
This study is just another thing to give us pause before nominating Hillary Clinton as our Presidential candidate. As Giuliani, Huckabee, and several other Republican candidates have made clear, they intend on running against Hillary Clinton. She is the one person who can excite Republican voters like none of their candidates can. Democrats, we cannot risk that. Our Congress is at risk if we do.