Stuart Rothenberg: The Internet Doesn't Matter
by utbrian, Tue Mar 20, 2007 at 10:51:34 AM EDT
I noticed this little gem from Stu Rothenberg in Political Wire this morning:
Technology obviously changes campaigns, and one day YouTube, Facebook and the Internet overall may determine who wins and who doesn't. But for the 2008 cycle, it's still those dreary "old media" that matter, no matter how many people want to get ahead of the curve and how creative and interesting the new technologies of the day. (Politcal Wire 3/20/07)
So, nope, it doesn't matter. Try all you want, but nothing on the net will matter. Why? Because Rothenberg says so! Follow me over the flip...
However, at least he does throw some cold water on DC consultant types:
But at the end of the day, the YouTube ad will be a footnote about the campaign. It's yet another example of the tactical nature of this 2008 campaign, and while tactics can and do matter, the Democratic race will be decided in Iowa and New Hampshire by a relative handful of Democratic participants, not by Washington, D.C. insiders who are all aflutter with the latest hip happening.
But, just so you don't take Rothenberg's prediction skills too seriously, how about this golden oldie:
But as national political analyst Stuart Rothenberg points out in a recent blog post, Democratic pollsters are pushing a lot of polls that show second- and third-tier candidates performing surprisingly well.
"If most of these challengers win, the Democrats will gain 30 or 40 House seats," he wrote. "Obviously, that's unlikely. Extremely unlikely."(CoCoTimes 10/08/06)