Scholastic Kid's Poll Results

What is interesting about the Scholastic Kid's poll , is that it is rarely wrong. The base methodology for this poll is to take submitted votes from either the Scholastic Kids News Magazine, that are in turn submitted through the schools to final tally - or through the registered votes from the Scholastic website and/or a similiar registered mechanism from twitter.com/scholasticnews. They take , in general, about two weeks to compile the results. In the past six election cycles it has correctly predicted the winner of the election.

Here are their results as/of 10/14/08:

Sen. Barack Obama, 57%
Sen. John McCain,  39%
Undecided,          4%

Of course, this doesn't take into account McCains soon-to-be stunning debate performance where I am told that he will attempt to tie Sen. Obama to William Ayers.  McCain's brilliant campaign that somehow seems to avoid discussing real issues, or even, for that matter - their own candidate to be able to look into the camera - may have the effect of making Sen. Obama's margin of victory even higher.

So. What do you think? Is this accurate?

Tags: Election 08, polls, prediction (all tags)

Comments

6 Comments

I can't believe the kids

are backing the Arab?

Their senile Granny is going to be pissed.....

by WashStateBlue 2008-10-14 10:11AM | 0 recs
Previous years results

I'd like to see some previous years results. They may correctly predict the winner, but who knows how good they are at predicting the margin. I've heard similar thinks about the Weekly Reader poll in terms of accuracy.

Here's a link to this year's results. The swing state results seem dubious. Obama wins Florida by 14% but Iowa by just 1%? Ohio and Pennsylvania both by 4%?

by fwiffo3 2008-10-14 10:34AM | 0 recs
Re: Previous years results

It also has McCain blowing Obama out by 25 points in Colorado...

by fwiffo3 2008-10-14 10:36AM | 0 recs
Re: Previous years results

Lot of white suburban kids in that CO demographic would be my take....

by WashStateBlue 2008-10-14 10:45AM | 0 recs
Re: Scholastic Kid's Poll Results

kids see thru the garbage and white noise - as they would say, "duh!"

by lilaruby 2008-10-14 11:17AM | 0 recs
Re: Scholastic Kid's Poll Results

Heh, that's very noble, but I think it's almost entirely attributed to the idea that kids vote for who their parents are voting for.

I actually remember taking this when I was a very wee lad.  I also remember being one of only two or three kids in class "voting" for Mondale.

So yes, it's quite accurate. :p

by cfloyd 2008-10-14 05:21PM | 0 recs

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