Georgia in Play

Georgia is in play. With McCain leading Obama 43 to 44 percent of the vote, and a huge number of unregistered voters - Georgia
's large number of electoral college votes will become part of the electoral map this fall.

There are 55. Thats right, count them. 55 new offices being opened up in Georgia this month. A big ground operation is underway, GOTV will be in full swing in about three to six weeks.

The benchmark indicator events are currently the Race between Jim Martin and Vernon Jones, for Democratic primary run-off coming soon. Does anyone know, by the way, what date that vote is held? Do I have this information correct?

And of course, the Democratic Challenge to the US Senate Seat held by Saxby Chambliss.  Those numbers will determine how far the coat-tails of Obama are reaching - however, if Missippi is any indication - we are in play.

Any other states that come up as a surprise?

Tags: general election, Georgia, Presidential (all tags)

Comments

10 Comments

Maybe Alaska

If Palin's problems get any worse in Alaska, and Obama actually shows up to campaign in the sparse population centers, then I'm betting that it's in play.

by Dracomicron 2008-07-23 08:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

I think Obama's natural ceiling here is 46%; as much as I support him, I just don't see him getting 50%+1.  For Obama to win, Barr's gotta pull at least 8%.  McKinney, might get 1-2%, at best.  I guess it depends on what type of strategy that Barr uses, and how he employs his limited resources.

by NewOaklandDem 2008-07-23 08:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

If you cite a poll, can you please provide a link, or at least a reference as to which polling firm released the numbers and when poll is dated?

Thanks.

by Saintcog 2008-07-23 08:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

I also have a lot of trouble with Obama winning in GA without Barr pulling almost double digits.

So (and I never thought I would hear myself saying this) GO BARR!

by WashStateBlue 2008-07-23 08:47AM | 0 recs
Stating the obvious below:
North Carolina, Virginia, Georgia & Florida will be decided by turnout.
Hopefully those field offices will spend their time registering voters.
by gil44 2008-07-23 10:12AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

Yowza!

Gotta go for those long-shots.

Keeps the other guys protecting their base.

by Bush Bites 2008-07-23 09:10AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

And of course, the Democratic Challenge to the US Senate Seat held by Saxby Chambliss.

This seat is a long shot, but if we're going to even have a chance of winning it, we need a good candidate (i.e., not Vernon Jones).

by Angry White Democrat 2008-07-23 09:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

Primary run-off for Jones and Martin is August 5.  Martin has a better than decent chance of winning it (since Cardwell had a double-digit showing).  Expect turnout to be extremely low, which could end up benefiting Jones.

But, WOW!  55 offices?  Holy Sh*t!  That's massive.  Even if we don't win the state, McCain will be forced to compete here.  And Atlanta media market is very expensive.  Awesome!

I'd expect Barr to do well here and in other states as well.  I keep making a big deal about polling firms not including him.  I do this because, to many many hardcore conservatives, John McCain is like our Joe Lieberman.  They can't stand him and don't trust him.  So, I firmly believe Barr has a strong potential to catch on - thus, destroying what miserable chances the GOP has of keeping the White House.

by MKyleM 2008-07-23 09:43AM | 0 recs
Re: Georgia in Play

I agree with those who say Barr needs to steal significant votes for Obama to win GA. I have been bringing up Barr's name with people I know who would never vote for Obama.

by Pravin 2008-07-23 09:54AM | 0 recs
A certain former Georgia senator on the ticket

...together with Barr taking lots of McCain votes and a huge AA turnout might squeek Obama over the top. But I would rather lose Georgia than have Sam Nunn as VP. I think it probably ends up McCain by high single digits. Which would be quite something when you consider that Kerry lost by 17 points.

by conspiracy 2008-07-23 10:17AM | 0 recs

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