In the Aftermath of the Massachusetts Senate Results
by Texas Nate, Wed Jan 20, 2010 at 04:56:55 PM EST
What Democrats have been doing this year in Washington, D.C. isn't working. The voters of Massachusetts made that abundantly clear last night by electing a Republican to replace Ted Kennedy in the U.S. Senate.
It's clear we haven't been picking the right candidates. The mood of the electorate is angry and frightened. We desperately need candidates that can address voters' very real concerns head on, not endlessly repeat the talking points coming out of Washington, D.C.
In Texas, we've got John Sharp running for U.S. Senate. And despite the set back last night, Sharp's candidacy represents a very real opportunity for Democrats to pick up a seat in Texas.
As Matt Glazer of the Burnt Orange Report posted earlier today:
Texas is not Massachusetts. A single point of data is not a trend, and the shortsightedness of the press is a gross misrepresentation of the current political climate and facts.
Let's look at some startling facts.
- As recently as 2002, Mitt Romney the Governor's mansion in Massachusetts even with questions surrounding his residency status.
- Since 1990, Massachusetts has elected 4 Republicans and 1 Democrat. The Democrat is Deval Patrick and he took office in 2007. The only other Democrat to serve as Governor in Massachusetts in my short life time is Michael Dukakis. He took office in 1983.
- Coakley was a flawed candidate. The Hill is already calling her mistakes, "the costliest political blunders of all time." After winning the nomination, Coakley stopped campaigning and went on vacation. She confused the Red Sox with Yankees, and arguably misspoke about Afghanistand and the Middle East.
Now let's talk about Texas (After all, that's what this all about).
Massachusetts represents an, on paper, 25+ point plus swing. Rick Perry, the likely nominee, has a waning base of 39%. Even in a redish state, Perry needs +11 to get even. In 2008, a presidential year with elevated turnout, Republicans were +12 in the presidential race, +8 in the railroad commissioner race, and the largest gap in the Texas Supreme Court race was +10 and smallest was +6.
All sizable gaps, but Perry is facing two well funded races in 2010 and starts with a massive voter gap and high negatives.
John Sharp is a candidate with a proven record of finding effective policy solutions that produce the best possible outcomes for the most people. He's a straight talker and he can go into any Tea Party, stand his ground as a Democrat and come out with votes without selling out his principles.
It's not an anti-Democrat mood that is gripping the country right now, it is an anti-incumbent, anti-Washington, D.C. and anti-insider spirit.
The Republicans have been representing Texas in Washington, D.C. for almost twenty years. Texas voters are tired of the same old, same old and they want someone who will effectively represent their interests in Washington. John Sharp fits that bill.
Disclaimer: I am an advisor to John Sharp.