Hillary and Obama run equally well among working-class white voters...

If you delve into the internals of the new Quinnipiac poll (the one which shows a 7% Obama lead for the GE), there's an interesting tidbit...

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"The Political Brain" and what it tells us about the primary

Last weekend, I read the fascinating book The Political Brain, by Drew Westen.  Drew is a trained psychologist, and believes the "theory of mind" political professionals who work for Democrats have developed is totally, utterly wrong.  To simplify his thesis, no voters(not even well-educated ones) make voting decisions by rationally weighing where the candidates stand on the issues.  Instead, people begin with their emotional feelings towards a candidate, and then rationalize reasons why they support a given candidate.

I think it tells us a lot about what has gone on during this primary fight...  

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Obama is not losing white voters as contests go on

On the Front Page right now, Jerome is suggesting, that Obama is systematically losing the white vote.  The problem is there is no data to back this up.  Let's take a look at the CNN exits...

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Clinton nearly lost Indiana because she nearly lost women.

Jerome, quite rightly, mentioned on the front page that Obama over-performed among many groups in Indiana, including liberals, white voters, and white democrats.  However, he misses the most obvious shift, Clinton's dramatic drop in support among women.  

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Five Simple Questions to all Clinton and Obama Supporters...

Over the past day or two, there have been a number of different diaries pleading for civility on MyDD.  While I think it's important that there is a "walk back" from the precipice, I think it's even more important for everyone, regardless of who they support, to question their underlying assumptions.  So I offer these questions to the crowd.    

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Why are people scared of McCain?

I wrote a draft of this post yesterday, before the NYT story broke, only to have it lost.  But I wanted to engage with the MyDD community on this question regardless.  Why are so many people scared of McCain?  He seems to me to be an astonishingly weak candidate, for the following reasons.  Some of these are predicated on a McCain versus Obama race, but all but two I think apply equally if Clinton manages to turn things around.  

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Open plea to Hillary supporters for civility...

I realize this site has become a Hillary Clinton leaning site, and I realize that a lot of you are feeling pessimistic now, but please, think of the ultimate goal - not having a McCain as president in 2009.  

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How the rest of the campaign will play out...

I'm totally pulling some of this out of my ass, based upon what I know about the states involved and the demographics.  But my two cents...

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Hillary Clinton and the "Vison thing"

The other week, HWC's post crystallized for me the issue I have with Hillary Clinton, which I will elaborate from a one-off comment into a thesis.  Hillary lacks any real vision of what she wants to accomplish as president, and this is her crucial flaw, if not as a candidate, than as the head of the executive branch.  

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RE: CWA, SEIU, and Growth

As a staffer in the labor movement, I've had mixed feelings about Matt's recent harping on CWA's admittedly terrible position on Net Neutrality.  I sincerely believe net neutrality is an important issue, and CWA is on the wrong side of it.  

But Matt went too far with linking to this blog entry.  The entry implicitly argues that how good a union is should be based upon how much it grows - directly based upon business rhetoric.  

I don't have time for a fully-researched, detailed essay, but I hope to make it clear CWA is not a villain, nor is SEIU a hero...

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Diaries

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