Obama, Romney of the left?
by TaiChiMaster, Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 02:36:14 PM EDT
That is a comparison that came to me recently, Romney had a very well funded campaign and it wasn't only due to his personal fortune. The fact is that the Mormon community is very proactive at promoting (and funding) its candidates, there is nothing special about that, it is ethnic politics 101 as it is played in the US.
Obama suffers (and benefits) from "ethnic biases", on one side he receive a degree of support from his community that is WAY beyond what he should get on the issue only (this is a huge advantage that I estimate at an average of 25-30% since the black community is almost one third of the democratic base), the flip side of it was plain clear yesterday, no matter how much money he would throw, despite his aura of ineluctability and incredible coverage from the MSM, he just couldn't win Pennsylvania. "ethnic biases" will be much stronger in the majority as a whole (Rep, ind, Dem), but not as strong as in "other" minorities like Latinos, I guess everything is a contest, again, ethnic politics 101.
However, unlike Romney, the demographic and ethnical profile of the democratic primary electorate as a whole plays in his favor. That is why he will probably win the nomination. After that, all bets are off, elections are won on the margin and the difference between getting 80% and 90% of Hillary's voters may be the difference between winning and losing.
I didn't use the R word in this diary because I consider it totally inappropriate in that instance.