MN Senate Race Very close, Ventura=Bad
by Student Guy, Fri Jun 13, 2008 at 08:47:46 AM EDT
So I was reading my favorite MN blog and I saw that the MN Senate race is with in 3 points 48-45. This is despite Al getting bad press for over a month.
The recent flare-up over an old article Democratic nominee Al Franken wrote for Playboy magazine has had little impact on the Minnesota Senate race, with incumbent Republican Norm Coleman holding on to a narrow 48% to 45% lead.
In a three-way match-up, 24% back Ventura. Coleman's support drops to 39%, but Franken's falls ever further -- to 32%. Five percent (5%) are undecided.
Versus Franken alone, Coleman has the support of 92 % of Republicans, 20% of Democrats and 41% of unaffiliated voters. If Ventura runs, the incumbent's GOP support drops to 79%, and only 15% of Democrats and 31% of those not affiliated with either party.
Similarly, without Ventura in the race, Franken is supported by 73% of Democrats, 6% of Republicans and 42% of unaffiliated voters. But if the former governor runs, Franken pulls only slightly more than half of Democrats (54%), 5% of Republicans and 28% of the unaffiliated.
In a three-way race, the survey shows Ventura with 15% of Republicans, 25% of Democrats and 32% of unaffiliated voters.
Al is not damaged goods, and to my fellow Minnesotan, it looks like I am right about Ventura hurting Al more than Norm.
This may look interesting but the presidential race polling makes MN look very blue Ras 52-39. This makes it even more likely that the RNC won't invest into MN. That lack of investment means that the only people playing will be the Senatorial and Congressional committees. The democrats have the money edge in this campaign. Also in CD-03 (the toss up in MN, the DFL has a great candidate in Ashwin Madia while the republicans have one who is lackluster in Erik Paulsen.
While this doesn't show a lead it is very encouraging for Al.