Will the Real Enthusiasm Gap-Please Stand Up!

 

 

With the mid-term elections just around the corner, Republican poll numbers are cresting, as Democrats are making their way back to their ideological home.

With the DNC raising a record 16 million in September, it is very clear that the Democratic Pary is alive and well and the voters are gearing up for the November election. 

According to The Fix, “The Democratic National Committee raised $16 million in September alone, a startlingly strong month of fundraising that party operatives insist is a sign of momentum for their side with roughly one month remaining before the November midterms.”

The DNC record haul was not only their best month of 2010, but also their best year since 2002. What is even more encouraging for Democrats is that 80% of the record total came from the Internet and direct mailings, not fundraisers featuring wealthy individual donors.

On the GOP side, the RNC has not, and probably will not release their fundraising numbers. Michael Steele has crushed all Republican confidence in the organization, and the RNC has been struggling to raise money since he became chairman. The RNC and Republican organizers such as Karl Rove, have been relying on outside groups such as the Koch brothers to fund their slate of candidates around the country. It is becoming apparanet that big time money will not guarantee an election victory, as Republicans were betting on after recruiting a handful of wealthy contributers.

The media loves to drum up expectations of the election results,even before the voters cast their votes. They use generic poll questions to measure voter enthusiasm, and then use the unreliable results of their pretenious poll, to predict in their words the beginning of a "Republican Tsunami".  However, as Democrats wake up from their Summer slumber and begin to focurs on the election and determine what's at stake in the midterms, voter apathy is being replaced by voter enthusiam. The tidal wave of the GOP, may yet become a myth as the election draws near.

It isn’t a coincidence that as President Obama has hit the road and started to campaign for Democrats and define the message of the 2010 election, Democratic voters are engaging. They are beginning to understand and realize that a Republican 'Tea Party' takeover is not an alternative that the country can afford to make . Contrary to the media narrative, Democrats are far from dead. In fact they may not only survive, but retain their majorities in what was supposed to be the so called year of the Republican.

 

 

 

 

Update: Clinton With Commanding Lead in Puerto Rico

Hillary Clinton has a considerable lead just two days from the Puerto Rico Primary according to recent polling.

1)El Vocero/Univision/Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner from 8 May - 20 May showed Clinton leading Obama by 13% points - 51% to 38% among Puerto Rico democratic primary voters.

2)Vocero/Univision Puerto Rico Poll, conducted from 8 May - 20 May showed Clinton leading Obama by 19% points - 59% to 40% among Puerto Rico democratic primary voters.

Clinton is expected to lead in the national popular vote after the Puerto Rico Primary and DNC Rules and Bylaws decision is rendered. Hillary is on the verge of having gained more popular votes than any presidential candidate in American history. Some 18 million votes will have been cast for Clinton.

Puerto Rico Polls

MORE NEWS
Clinton has gained the endorsement of Washington State Superdelegate Eileen Macoll, the vice chairwoman of the state Democratic Party. Hillary's tenacity continues in amazement, with several key endorsements despite the media's ridiculous assertion (based solely on pledged delegates) that the primary race is over.
Washington State Superdelegate Endorses Clinton

UPDATE: GALLUP POLL SAYS MEDIA TOO TOUGH ON HILLARY

Gallup Poll

UPDATE: PASTOR CONTROVERSY GROWING

Precisely at the time when Obama's camp needs to be building bridges to supporters of New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, the Rev. Michael Pfleger, who's known Obama for about 20 years, took to the pulpit of Obama's church Sunday and ridiculed Clinton, using racially divisive language.

Obama Pastor Attacks Clinton

There's more...

High Profile Clinton Backers Plan Rules and Bylaws Protest

It looks like May 31st is going to be anything but an ordinary Saturday in the park for Washington residents, as Hillary supporters from across the nation convene in the nations capital to speak out in support of counting every vote.

A group of High Profile Clinton Supporters are planning a day long rally in front of the hotel where the Rules and Bylaws committee will be considering the fate of the Michigan and Florida primaries.

It will draw together some of Clinton's most loyal backers and be emceed by Jehmu Greene, the former president of Rock the Vote who sat on the DNC committee that spent 2005 trying to reform the party's primary process.

Announced speakers so far include National Organization for Women President Kim Gandy and Florida Democratic congresswoman Corinne Brown. Organizers say that they expect individuals to come in from 26 different states for the rally, as well as some major celebrity speakers, and that they are receiving logistical assistance or other support from the pro-Clinton United Federation of Teachers and EMILY's List. The group Florida Demands Representation, organized by James Hannagan, will also be there.

Washington Protest Planned

HILLARY'S SWING STATE ADVANTAGE
PRINCETON, NJ -- In the 20 states where Hillary Clinton has claimed victory in the 2008 Democratic primary and caucus elections (winning the popular vote), she has led John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily trial heats for the general election over the past two weeks of Gallup Poll Daily tracking by 50% to 43%. In those same states, Barack Obama is about tied with McCain among national registered voters, 45% to 46%.

In contrast, in the 28 states and the District of Columbia where Obama has won a higher share of the popular vote against Clinton in the 2008 Democratic primaries and caucuses, there is essentially no difference in how Obama and Clinton each fare against McCain. Both Democrats are statistically tied with him for the fall election.

All of this speaks to Sen. Clinton's claim that her primary-state victories over Obama indicate her potential superiority in the general election.



PUERTO RICANS HEAD TO THE POLLS SUNDAY

POLLS SHOW CLINTON WITH A SOLID LEAD

There are about 2.5 million registered voters in Puerto Rico. Normally, 80 percent of them vote. While it may be less than that this weekend, still, close to one million people could show up to choose between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. That's about the same number that turned out in states like Missouri and New Jersey.

Over 1 Million To Cast Votes

FL/MICHIGAN: CLINTON CAMP NOT BACKING DOWN.

In most inclusive count, Clinton has the numbers

Lost in the excitement of Barack Obama's coronation this week was an inconvenient fact of Tuesday's results: Hillary Clinton netted approximately 150,000 votes and is now poised to finish the primary season as the popular-vote leader. In some quaint circles, presumably, these things still matter. Real Clear Politics keeps track of six versions of the popular-vote total. They are, in ascending order of inclusivity: (1) the popular vote of sanctioned contests; (2) the total of sanctioned contests, plus estimated votes from the Iowa, Nevada, Maine and Washington caucuses; (3) the popular vote plus Florida; (4) popular vote plus Florida and the caucuses; (5) the popular vote plus Florida and Michigan; (6) popular vote plus Florida, Michigan, and the caucus estimates. After Tuesday, Clinton now leads in two of these six counts.

If you believe that the most important precept in democratic politics is to "count every vote," then the sixth category is the most inclusive, and here Clinton leads Obama by 71,301 votes. Of course, this includes the Michigan result, where Sen. Obama had removed his name from the ballot. So while it may be the most inclusive, it may not be the most fair.

The third and fourth counts - the ones which include Florida - seem more fair. Here, Obama is clinging to a slight lead of 146,786 votes (257,008, with the caucus estimates). However, with Puerto Rico, Montana, and South Dakota remaining, he will almost certainly finish behind her in these counts, likely by a few hundred thousand votes.

But could Clinton take over the lead in all of the popular-vote tabulations? Quite possibly. In Puerto Rico's last major election, two million people voted. Let's assume that turnout for this historic vote - Puerto Rico has never had a presidential primary before - will be equal to or greater than that turnout.

If Clinton were to win Puerto Rico by 20 points she would pick up at least a 400,000-vote margin. This would allow her to swamp Obama in the popular-vote counts, which include Florida, making her the leader in four of the six permutations of the popular vote. At that point, Obama would be left clinging to the least-inclusive count, which he now leads by 441,558 votes (551,780, including caucuses).

To understand how razor-thin this majority is, consider that if the Puerto Rico turnout is slightly larger than we have imagined - or Clinton's margin is slightly greater - then Clinton would finish the primary process leading in every conceivable vote count. With two million voters, a 28 percent victory would put Clinton over the top even in the count, which excludes Florida and Michigan and includes estimates for Obama's caucus victories.

It is this looming prospect which explains the tremendous pressure Obama partisans and the media are putting on Clinton to drop out of the race. They want her gone now because they understand that she has an excellent chance of finishing as the undisputed people's choice.

Would it matter if Clinton were the undisputed (or even disputed) popular-vote winner? That's hard to say. The question is, matter to whom? The superdelegates will determine the nominee and there's no telling what will sway them. They have no objective criteria from which to make their decisions. But if they were to deny the popular-vote champ the nomination, there is a real question of whether Democratic voters would reconcile themselves to the decision. As it is, much of the talk about Democratic defections in November has been overstated.<> Partisan voters almost always come home after their candidate loses. The problem arises when a candidate's supporters believe that their guy (or gal) didn't lose. Expect the chorus calling for Clinton's withdrawal to grow louder over the next week, with people insisting that she has no "path to victory."

Clinton's path is both obvious and simple: Win the popular vote and force Barack Obama and his cheerleaders to explain why that doesn't matter.

There's more...

Gallup: Clinton leads McCain and Obama

The media pundits and commentators insist on reminding the voters on a daily basis that Hillary Clinton is Finished and doesn't have a chance. Yet the newest national tracking poll by Gallup, Rasmussen and Newsweek, shows that Clinton noy only beats McCain, but is also ahead of Obama in two of those three polls.

Not only do these numbers indicate how strong Hillary continues to poll, but reminds voters that she is the strongest candidate for the General Election. It also continues to show Obama's weaknesses as the primary season comes to a close.

Given Hillary's strenghts, it is totally unbelievable how ignorant the media has become and how they have treated her with utter disrespect and disregard.

Clinton Leads McCain and Obama

CLINTON EXPECTED TO WIN PR PRIMARY
Clinton is campaigning for Puerto Rico's primary on June 1, which offers 55 pledged delegates to the national Democratic convention. The New York senator is expected to win the contest, thanks partly to her ties to the large Puerto Rican community in her home state.

With a substantial victory on the island commonwealth along with the results of the Michigan and Florida decision, Hillary is expected to win the national popular vote.

Hillary  can win the popular vote

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CNN Reports: Obama/Clinton in Formal Talks For VP

CNN News is reporting this morning that the Clinton and Obama campaigns are in formal talks to have Hillary become his VP running  mate.

The two Democratic campaigns are talking about ways for Clinton, to drop her bid for president that may include joining the Illinois senator's ticket, CNN reported. Talks are in a ``very preliminary'' stage and are described as ``difficult,'' the network said.

Further Updates Forthcoming

CNN: Clinton May Join Ticket

UPDATE: Citing anonymous sources, the network reports that the Clinton campaign is pushing for a compromise with Obama and outlining three possible scenarios, including her as his VP pick. Formal Talks

There's more...

The Media Drumbeat For Obama

Hillary Clinton's 35 point victory in Kentucky coupled with her landslide victory in West Virginia, would not have come to fruition but for her tremendous support among women and White working class voters.
Kentucky/Oregon Results
Thank You Kentucky
Obama's Kentucky Problem

As a matter of fact, Hillary has won more votes than anyone running for the Democratic nomination in the history of the Democratic Party, and she added to her popular vote lead last night. Most importantly she has won states that will total 308 electoral votes in November -- more than enough to carry the general election.

Despite her impressive victories, her strong showing in vital swing states, and her overwhelming support among key voting groups, the media retches up the drumbeat for Obama, determined to have the final say in this historical race. Yet voters continue to send a message to those who want this race to be over, they are more determined than the media to keep this race alive. The pundits may have their way in this election, but the voters will have the final say.

Hillary will continue her quest to make certain the more than 2 million voters in Florida and Michigan are heard when she meets with the credentials committee on May 31 in Washington D.C. Today she is pleading her cause throughout Florida. Then on to Puerto Rico where she is expected to add hundreds of thousands of votes to her popular vote lead. As she said in her victory speech last evening, "This race is far from over." Like Hillary, her supporters are true to their cause, they will never give up and they will never give in.


Video:The Fight for Florida Votes

Hillary and Puerto Rico

Ohio Superdelegate Endorses Hillary

KEEP HILLARY'S HOPES ALIVE!

There's more...

CNN: Clinton Wins Kentucky in a Massive Landslide

Hillary Clinton has been the projected winner of the Kentucky Primary in what CNN News has declared to be a major landslide of 30% or better. Stay tuned for further updates.

Exit Polls: Clinton Supporters have said that they will not support Obama if he should become the nominee. Only 33% said they would vote for Obama, whereas 67% said they will either vote for McCain or stay home. Again as was reported in Ohio, Pa, Indiana and West Virginia, the majority of Clinton supporters will not vote for Obama.

UPDATE

Rural Voters: 75% are voting for Hillary

White Voters: 77% are voting for Hillary

Overwhelming White Support for Hillary in Kentucky

UPDATE

Clinton ahead by 32% In Kentucky with 61% of precincts reporting. Looks like the massive landslide that I earlier reported as declared by CNN at 6pm CST.

UPDATE

Clinton ahead by 165,000 votes, leading by 34% with 72% reporting

UPDATE

Clinton Speech: Hillary Announces that she will remain in the race through June 3 and will fight for Michigan and Florida votes to count.

UPDATE

Clinton Ahead by 200,000 votes, Leading with 34% with 85% of precincts reporting.

UPDATE: HILLARY'S LEAD CONTINUES TO WIDEN

Clinton Ahead by 215,000 votes, leadng with 35% with 91% reporting.

UPDATE: HILLARY WINS KENTUCKY IN A BLOWOUT

Clinton has an overwhelming victory for the second consecutive week, having beat the "presumptive nominee" by a wide margin. With 99% of precincts reporting, Clinton has almost 250,000 more votes than Obama or 35% margin of victory.

CLINTON Has the Swing State Advantage

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Clinton: Commanding Lead in Kentucky, Tight Race in Oregon

CNN News is reporting that Hillary Clinton has an overwhelming lead of 30% points in Kentucky,while Obama has only a modest lead in Oregon. The ARG and Suffolk polls also showing an even tighter contest in Oregon.
Clinton Leads Big in Kentucky, Obama Modest in Oregon
Polls Show tight race in Oregon

According to the Clinton campaign the race is still up for grabs, as Hillary is contesting the popular vote totals as well as the GE electoral map, both of which she claims to be leading in.
Nomination Up for Grabs

There is NO NOMINEE YET

A New Poll Also shows that McCain is Beatin Obama by 9% in the Rural States

McCain Beating Obama in Rural States

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A Female Backlash Against Obama Is Beginning

Women across America are uniting in earnest to denounce the unfair and sexist treatment of Hillary Clinton by both the media and the Obama campaign.

The Ohio-based group of Clinton supporters announced that they intend to actively work to dismantle Barack Obama if he should become the nominee of the party. The group says that Hillary has been subjected to gender discrimination from party leaders and the media.

Organisers Cynthia Ruccia, 55, and Jamie Dixey, 57, say they are organising women, men, minorities, union members and others in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan - all important swing states in November - to protest at Senator Clinton's treatment.

In a press release, the group said: "We have a plan to campaign against the Democratic nominee. We have the (wo)manpower and the money to make our threat real. And there are millions of supporters who will back us up in the swing states. If you don't listen to our voice now, you will hear from us later."

If these supporters are able to successfully organize a coalition against Obama, and it sounds like they have the money to promote their cause, then the Democrats are going to have a huge problem on their hands at the convention, and especially if Obama gets the nomination. I see a disaster waiting to happen!

Women are angry with Barack Obama and the media

There's more...

Why is Obama a 'Sore Loser'?

Some pundits and political commentators are now suggesting that Obama looked like a 'Sore loser' the other evening after his landslide loss to Hillary in West Virginia.

Many news agencies expected Obama to at least make a short speech to congratulate Hillary and to emphasize the need for unity in the party. Instead he couldn't be bothered, pretending as if West Virginia didn't exist, of which West Virginians responded in kind to his lackluster consideration.

A national leader would have taken to the stage and spoken not only to West Virginia but to the entire nation about unity and vision, instead of pouting in silence over his humiliating loss.

Although it might have been seen as understandable that he downplay the importance of WV in lieu of the lopsided results, he could have taken the free airtime to talk about the upcoming states. Along with his decision to end all debates with Hillary, it almost seems as though Obama is tired of national attention, very strange for someone who wants to run for President.

Will Obama once again act like a 'sore loser' after his trouncing in Kentucky on May 20, and Puerto Rico on June 1? If West Virginia is any indication, then expect Obama to display another round of dismay and treating Kentucky as if it doesn't exist.

Now I have never been a fan of Karl Rove, who is now an analyst for Fox News, but he makes some very credible comments about Barack Obama regarding his weaknesses and character. It is no wonder why superdelegates are still sitting on the fence, many have some serious reservations about Obama.

A Sore Loser

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