Gay rights: Why 2006 won't be like 2004

In 2004, the cons used anti-gay amendments to turn out their base, and no one could stop them.  This year it's going to backfire.

Tags: 2006, bisexual, gay rights, lesbian, LGBT, transgender, Wisconsin (all tags)

Comments

6 Comments

Re: Gay rights in election 2006

Yesterday the federal marriage ban failed 236-187 in the House, and the Washington Post also had a story about how the push for constitutional bans on marriage and civil unions for gay couples might be losing steam at the state level.  One of the states mentioned was Wisconsin, where a recent poll had supporters and opponents of the ban dead even.

Anybody else seeing signs out there that these favorite get-out-the-vote tools from the conservatives might be starting to fail or even backfire?

by spirograph 2006-07-19 09:22AM | 0 recs
Re: Gay rights in election 2006

I don't of any signs, but I think that over the course of time, as the political mood changes, that someof the right's tactics might wear out.

by spirowasright 2006-07-19 09:46AM | 0 recs
Re: Gay rights in election 2006

Wisconsin this year is interesting, because it might give the Republicans the exact opposite of what they wanted: a strong campaign that draws people out to vote from the progressive side instead of the conservative side.

Fair Wisconsin, the group leading the campaign against the ban, has had more than two years to prepare and has already raised more than a million dollars.  They're also already running TV ads.  They're way ahead of the groups in other states that had only a few months to stop these anti-gay amendments in 2004.

Giving the Republicans their first-ever black eye on one of these amendments would be huge.

It could also tie in well with other plans to come up with ballot measures that draw out lefty voters, like the referenda being held on raising the minimum wage.

The Republicans have relied on these tactics for years -- can they take their own medicine?

by spirograph 2006-07-25 10:57AM | 0 recs
Re: Gay rights in election 2006

I don't know of any signs, but I think that over the course of time, as the political mood changes, that some of the right's tactics might wear out.

by spirowasright 2006-07-19 09:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Gay rights: Why 2006 won't be like 2004

check out this new poll from pew

http://pewresearch.org/obdeck/?ObDeckID= 40

especially the conclusion that:

"the 11 gay marriage initiatives had no across-the-board impact on the 2004 presidential race."

plus those 11 states had almost no time to prepare. this year, wisconsin's campaign has the biggest grassroots operation in the state -- think that's what the repubs had in mind when they put this on the ballot?

this has the potential to be a major, national black eye for this whole republican strategy

by radcheese 2006-07-27 06:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Gay rights: Why 2006 won't be like 2004

here's the latest wisconsin tv ad too. smart!

http://www.fairwisconsin.com/ads

by radcheese 2006-07-27 01:30PM | 0 recs

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