• The problem with Hillary's postion is its Political Suicide in the fall (unless see assumes that both of her plan's parts would be aprt of one bill and that such a bill would automatically be vetoed, which frankly would be even more disingenous):

    Let's say be some miracle both of Clinton's bill parts go through, and that she somehow wins the nomination (both things which are are around 1% likely), in August when the Holiday end McCain wil push legislation to make the Holiday permanent, when Hillary opposes said legislation McCain will quite rightly run on the argument that "Hillary wants to rise the price of gas, at a time of record prices Hillary Clinton wants make you pay even more at the pump" and once he does that, if Jerome is right about the shortsighted stupidity of the average voter, well the eolection's in the bag.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Well if Obama wins despite being outspent in the state then I think the PA analogy is near perfect.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Indeed, endorse Hillary and start appearing at her rallies.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Ask Hillary, Obama's up in MI, not trailing like HRC.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Are you reqally thinking the SC ruling is a good thing, I mean you do realize that in the general it will kill us as a party right?

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Um, no she can't win PA with lowered AA turnout, look at Rendell's victory, and realize that the map he won is pretty much Obama's PA map (Rendell only won like 10 counties, or 3 more than Obama), then realize that she'll get destroyed with lowered AA turnout, the smae thing is true in Ohio, hell she's already liekly to lose MI due to AA turnout (there's a reason that Obama is shown winning MI and Hillary losing it even on this site), FL is possilbe buty dicey with lowered AA turnout, if youth turnout falls as well she's pretty mcuh screwed.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Good point, we could go all the way to the cionvention the only ones it hurts are those who don't want McCain to win.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    Clinton is likely to win everything except NC and OR before June.

    Um, yeah Hill's not winning MT, she might win SD though history argues against it, but she's not winnign Montana.

  • on a comment on What Momentum Looks Like over 5 years ago

    But he improved in PA vs. OH in every demographic, so wouldn't that kind of make you a disingenous moron?

  • What is Ford's resume: 8 yrs in the House, man wow, while he does have more time in elected office than Hillary (htough lets be hones who doesn't, I mean Obama doubles her up, but we're cool with her being a neophyte I guess) he trails Obama in that area.

    Oh and as for Scandals, I don't think the Palyboy thing will fly with the types of voters Hillary needs, I mean lets face a significant % of thsoe guys aren't real big of AA's near white women.

  • Yeah that's not way patronizing, hey why not Obama-Sebilus , she's not tainted by Tuzla, or the other scandals of the Clitnon years, and she's a woman so that should get the women vote right?

  • You underscore why African-americans should vote GOP, I mean wouldn't they be better off if they didn't vote 90% one way?

    Or is this only true in primaries, is the AA vote goign 90% Dem in the General somehow a Good thing?

  • A couple of things:

    1) Your argument only works in and unbound function, in a bound function there is almost always going to be a negative second derivative, and its a bbit meaningless as a metric, there's a reason Hillary donesn't try and use this as an argument to say she's winning: "Obama's winning every week by less, so therefore eventually I'll win a week" is quite simply not a winning argument.

    2) I really want an argument how Black Liberattion Theology is more of a negative than some other Theological philosophy, say Catholicism.

  • I'm starting to have the sneaking suspicion that the Gravelanche might not be coming.

  • Its all right as long as its all White.

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