• comment on a post July Numbers over 5 years ago

    For McCain, the DNC, and the RNC, the numbers you show work as one would expect:

    COH (end of month n-1) + Raised (month n) - Spent (month n) = COH (end of month n).

    Obama's numbers don't obey these rules.

    In June, he raises $50M, and spends $23M.  June's COH should be May's COH + $27M.  It's not.  Similarly for July.  

    Is this just a couple of typos, or is there something I'm missing?

  • on a comment on Open Thread over 5 years ago

    Of course, "Obama Sibelius" would be a great name for a Harry Potter villain.

  • comment on a post Open Thread over 5 years ago

    I don't see why being on the longish Tuesday list excludes anyone from consideration; that could easily be a red herring.

    I continue to think it'll be Sibelius.

  • Thanks for pointing that out - I've been saying the same thing elsewhere.

    A self-selected sample of 160 troops out of 300,000 just doesn't tell you much.

  • Depends.  If you're McCain, it sure needs to be changed.  But his ads trying to define Obama didn't have that effect; that's what I was trying to say.

  • comment on a post Ad Watch: Obama Hits Back Hard on Celebrity Meme over 5 years ago

    More like this, please - and soon!

    Obama's been able to handle the McCain campaign's efforts to define him.  They've had some effect, but not enough to be a game-changer.

    But it's vitally important that McCain not be allowed to define himself before our side defines him.  Once he's established his identity in the public mind, it becomes a lot harder for us to change it.

    Fortunately for us, McCain's made his campaign almost completely about Obama, so far, and hardly at all about himself.  So there's still a decent bit of time, before the GOP convention, for Dems to define him before he does.

    This ad is a good first step.  More like it, and soon.

  • comment on a post 1972 over 5 years ago

    Forget the 1972 election.  If I'm going to flip anything from that cycle, it would be the 1972 Democratic nomination.  Keep the Canuck Letter from happening, Muskie wins NH easily and goes on to win the nomination, losing respectably in the fall.

    After Nixon's impeachment (Watergate happens regardless), Muskie gets another chance in 1976, and wins both the nomination and the election.

    It proves a lot harder for the GOP to ridicule Muskie the way they did McGovern and Carter, and the Dems don't flounder nearly so desperately when they lose the Presidency in 1984.

  • comment on a post Alaska Troubles for John McCain over 5 years ago

    Guess that takes Palin out of the veepstakes.

  • comment on a post When Seniors Are the Product over 5 years ago

    I remember being introduced to this concept a few decades back with respect to television, radio, newspapers, etc.  In each of those cases, the advertisers were/are the true customer, and the watchers/listeners/readers are the product.

    Sometimes I wonder if it's going to take CEOs dangling from lampposts to change just who this country is run on behalf of.

  • on a comment on Crazy times in Malaysia over 5 years ago

    I'm having trouble even parsing that sentence, Jerome.  Did you mean, did I get that from the comments at some board?

    At any rate, I didn't.  It was just the first thing that popped into my head.  I'm sure that was true for plenty of other people too.

  • comment on a post Crazy times in Malaysia over 5 years ago

    a grizzly murder

    They have grizzlies in Malaysia?

    Who knew??

  • comment on a post You Can't Spell Classy Without G.O.P. over 5 years ago

    yet?

    Just wondering.

  • on a comment on IN-Pres: Campaigning Matters over 5 years ago

    One of our biggest achievements in 2006 was to turn a lot of state legislatures blue.  Like you say, we definitely need to keep that rolling in 2008 and especially 2010, so that Dems draw the Congressional map for the following decade.

  • on a comment on The Road To 60 over 5 years ago

    That's the thing about actually making them do a talktalktalk filibuster, rather than letting them get away with just blocking cloture without paying a price: it works for us both ways, as long as we're on the side of the people.

    When we're in the majority, the GOP's spending hours or days blocking stuff that people want, will make them look like jerks.  

    And when we're in the minority, if they make us spend hours or days blocking stuff that rich people or corporations want, they'll also look like jerks.

    It's win-win.

  • comment on a post The Road To 60 over 5 years ago

    I've been jotting down who I want to give to between now and 6/30.  This is a cause I can get behind!

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