October (September) Surprise?

There are stories circulating that the U.S. may attack Iran in the next several weeks.

Several papers in Israel and the United Kingdom have picked up on a report in De Telegraff, Holland's largest newspaper, that the Bush administration is planning a bombing run with unmanned drones on Iranian military installations. The attack would be aimed at a presumed nuclear infrastructureand Iran's missile-launching capabilities.

A Spy Is Recalled

The paper reports that Holland's version of the CIA, the AIVD, was forced to stop what had been a successful espionage operation that was infilitrating and sabotaging Iran's weapons industry because of American plans to launch attacks on sites that included those "which were connected with the Dutch espionage action." The AIVD and the CIA share information. The paper relies on "well placed" sources telling it that a top agent was recently recalled "because the US was thought to be making a decision within weeks to attack Iran with unmanned aircraft."

http://www.israelenews.com/view.asp?ID=2 985

I saw a short blurb on this in the free metro newspaper on the way to work today, though I've seen very little coverage in the press at large.

Tags: Iran, strike, U.S. (all tags)

Comments

13 Comments

Re: October (September) Surprise?

Let's face it, rumors that Israel or the U.S. is just about to attack Iran are a dime a dozen.  Even the generally reliable Seymour Hersh has been telling us for YEARS that an attack will happen "any day now."  At this point it's hard to give rumors any credence.

I also feel confident that, if it happened, public reaction would be like "please, not another war" rather than "national security is back on the table, we must embrace the GOP to keep us safe!"  So I fret not.

by Steve M 2008-09-03 07:31AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

I realize that, but Bush is stupid enough to do something along these lines, and it seems as though there have at least been plans drawn up for some time.  I think it's unlikely, but not out of the realm of possibility.

by rfahey22 2008-09-03 07:35AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

They draw up plans for just about everything, though.  Their whole job at the Pentagon is to have a contingency plan for just about everything under the sun.  I'm certain that somewhere in the Pentagon are plans for a 14-day "shock and awe" invasion of Canada and deposition of the Prime Minister.

by mistersite 2008-09-03 07:49AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

Well its about time Canada was attacked. heck, they burned down the white house in the war of 1812!

by Iago 2008-09-03 08:18AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

Sure, it's entirely possible.  My point is that it's likewise been entirely possible every time rumors of this sort have been floated over the last several years.  It might still happen, but at this point we look an awful lot like the boy who cried wolf, if you follow me.

by Steve M 2008-09-03 08:05AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

true, but it has always been saber rattling between Israel and Iran, now there are third parties disengaging from gathering intelligence in Iran for fear of getting bombed, we usually don't hear about that, or at least I don't.

The only thing that does scare me is that Bush (or rather his neo-con masters) are really fucked up enough to try to initiate a war in order to maintain control of the white house.  WOuld it work?  Maybe, the fear mongering worked 4 years ago. Have Americans finally woken up to these tactics?  Maybe, a black guy with a funny name is leading the polls by a good amount, but there is no war going on.  Am I concerned?  I am always concerned when it comes to neo-cons and MNC Imperialism  

by KLRinLA 2008-09-03 08:23AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

Yes, I agree with Steve.

This would NOT be a bad issue for Obama/Biden at all.

I don't believe that as an october surprise, I would think it more likely some revelation of a planned terrorist strike foiled, something along that line...

Another war, they don't want in the headlines.

Scary Middle-east guys planning another 9/11 however....

by WashStateBlue 2008-09-03 07:35AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

I think the more likely October surprise is the capture of Bin Laden. We have begun sending ground troops into Pakistan.

by souvarine 2008-09-03 07:50AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

Now that's an October surprise I would have no trouble getting behind.

by Steve M 2008-09-03 08:05AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

Yes, but knowing the Republics, they would dress up Sarah Palin in fatigues, and have photos of her with the SEAL team dragging Bin Laden out of the cave....

by WashStateBlue 2008-09-03 08:51AM | 0 recs
Re: October (September) Surprise?

very tight-fitting fatigues, of course.

by the mollusk 2008-09-03 10:05AM | 0 recs
...again following Obama's advice

If they do that, they're just playing into Obama's hand (again), since that's the course of action he'd been advocating all along.

by Dracomicron 2008-09-03 09:28AM | 0 recs
I read this a while ago.......

US, UK begin war games in Persian Gulf

The US has begun five-day military maneuvers in the Persian Gulf, claiming it is preparing for a 'potential confrontation' in the region.

According to a US navy statement issued, the joint war games led by Britain's Royal Navy Commodore Peter Hudson have also brought together vessels from Britain and Bahrain and started Sunday.

Earlier in August, a large armada of US and European naval vessels were reportedly deployed to the Persian Gulf to reinforce the US strike force in the region.

The deployment took place following a military operation, which saw more than a dozen warships from the US, Britain and France conducting war games in the Atlantic Ocean.

The current statement by the Bahrain headquarters of the US 5th Fleet claims that the joint maneuvers are aimed at better protecting coalition ships against vessels 'deemed threatening'.

This comes as the West has intensified its go-to-war rhetoric against Iran.

The US, the UK and Israel are among countries that accuse Tehran of pursuing a military nuclear program and under such pretext have attempted to portray the country as a threat to regional and global security.

Washington and Tel Aviv have repeatedly threatened to launch military strikes against Iranian nuclear facilities should the country continue with its uranium enrichment program.

This is while the UN body responsible for monitoring Iranian nuclear activities has confirmed that Tehran enriches uranium-235 to a level of 3.7 percent - a rate consistent with the construction of a nuclear power plant. Nuclear arms production requires an enrichment level of above 90 percent.

In reaction to Western threats, Iran has started revamping its military hardware, supplying its navy with sophisticated military equipment, such as a high-tech weapons system, capable of targeting any vessel within a range of 300 km from its shores.

Another high-ranking military official in Iran has warned that Washington would not be faced with 'orthodox and classic tactics' should it attempt to engage in a war with Tehran.

Tehran has repeatedly warned that if the country comes under attack, it would not hesitate in taking necessary measures to protect its sovereignty, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Commodore Hudson stated that the war games dubbed 'Goalkeeper' are intended for practicing skills such as 'locating and tracking' vessels in the Persian Gulf and 'handling command and control' operations during a potential confrontation.

by cobsjo 2008-09-03 09:52AM | 0 recs

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