Why is it that Jon tries to make the point that even some upper-level Clinton people think the race will be over soon, and some people immediately attack him, Obama, and everything else in sight as "insisting that Hillary drop out"?
Wow. Bold comment - African Americans will vote for Hillary because they have nowhere else to go. Sounds like the Republican Party circa 1950's-60's, right before the Dems finally said to hell with the Southern Caucus and did what was right. Its also a little offensive to take this group of individual for granted. But then again, I'm a latte sipping liberal (I can't believe I get called that by fellow Dems - for shame).
And btw, McCain has NOT maintained his base. The heart of the Repub get-out-the-vote effort is conservative Christian (particular women) - it was the edge Rove galvanized in 2000 and 2004. The odds of them coming out in force for McCain is simply not realistic.
Fact is, just like the Christian conservatives, AA numbers will be lower if Clinton secures the nomination. Particularly so if she does it this way.
I hope so. It would make me crazy if Hillary somehow pulled out the nomination (take note Hill-fans - I didn't say "steal") but its simply a non-issue on how much better any democratic presidential candidate would be. Anyone who lived through Clinton-Bush knows the formula:
Dem Pres + Repub Congress = hard to impossible to get stuff done
Repub Pres + Repub Congress = horrible stuff gets done
Repub Pres + Dem Congress = everything good gets vetoed
Dem Pre + Dem Congress = Better SCOTUS + Better Legislation