Rasmussen: From tie to +4 in one day

Wow -How can you go from a tie to +4 in a four day tracking poll in one night?  Now, that is some bounce!

Rasmussen shows major movement - and that's before taking into account the impact of Obama's speech.

Thursday's tracking poll O 47 -M 47
Friday's tracking poll O 49 - M 45

Chuck Todd said that if Obama could go from 80% Democratic support to 89% Democratic support, he would gain four points. That might have happened - or these new numbers might also include movement from independents and even Republicans.

Tags: Barack Obama, poll (all tags)



Will you stop?

Yesterday it was, Obama dropped 3%, here is a drop
Today it's Obama gained 4%, here is a bounce...

The fact of the matter is that there never was any bounce and there won't be. People are sick of all this choregraphed shit, I know I am.

by TaiChiMaster 2008-08-29 05:48AM | 0 recs

Americans love the "choreographed shit;" that's why Obama is our nominee today.

Do you really think he'd be in the position to do all this had he not given that 2004 convention speech?  

Conventions are huge.  This was huge.

by Dracomicron 2008-08-29 06:04AM | 0 recs
Re: Actually...

Personally I wouldn't call a great speech "choreographed shit," since they have been given and appreciated for thousands of years. Rhetoric, by itself, is powerful.

by politicsmatters 2008-08-29 06:09AM | 0 recs
Again, it's a tracking poll

Polling isn't a hard science, so you can't look at one day's result on a tracking poll and say definitively that it's not an outlier freak event.

That said, it's been a hell of a convention, and Rasmussen in particular showing that large a bounce is pretty unusual.  This wouldn't include the results of last night's speech, either.

by Dracomicron 2008-08-29 06:06AM | 0 recs
Re: Again, it's a tracking poll

Absolutely - it could be an outlier.

However, Gallup had a one day gain of +5 yesterday in their three day tracking poll, so that adds credence to the idea that there is movement.

I can't wait to see new state polls.

by politicsmatters 2008-08-29 06:08AM | 0 recs
Rasmussen Is a 3-Day Tracker

So most likely, last night's sample showed between 7-10 points advantage for Obama.

Don't know why so many people think it is a 4-day tracker, I've found that misperception common.

by Davidsfr 2008-08-29 06:17AM | 0 recs


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