Edwards calls to stop the ads! update

      I like Edwards and think he would make for a fantastic president but he needs to cut the crap now. No one alive beleives he can't let it be known that he doesn't want his former camapign manager running 527 ads on his behalf. Hillary for all her faults isn't claiming that 527's are bad and need to be banned, Edwards is. In 2004 the senator rightly called on Bush to stop the swifty ads which evert dem knows was Karl Rove's doing. The 750,000 worth of tv time isn't worth looking like a hypocrate and a phoney.

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ARG on crack polls

 This joke of a polling firm has McCAin with 20% in iowa and Romeny with 17, are they making this shit up or are they that incompetant. My bet is that Bennet is either a big supporter or is being paid off, how can any media organization report that garbadge. McCain isn't competitng int he state and other pols show him averaging about 6% now he's ahead of Romney?

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which position would you rather be in

   It just occured to me we have a bit of a polling paradox
looking at the RCP average give or take Obama's down about 15 points nationally and tied in the first 3 big states Iowa, NH and SC, while Rudy is now down to being tied nationally but behind about 15 points on average in the early states (I know Mich matters for them but the point is still valid) the way the media builds up momnetum and covers these things which position would you rather be in Rudy's or Obama's.

   They face the opposite problems/opportunities Rudy has to some how hope he's not left on the sidelines while watching everyone play and Obama has to hope momentum helps him in big feb 5 states where no one will be able to camapign that much before voting time. I beleive in momentum but it's debatable givin the primary calender.

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here comes McCain

    It's long been my theory that McCain just might survive and re-emerge as the only Republican that's actually presidential material faults and all. It's starting to happen check out rasmussen today, I worry about this becuase McCain outside the constraints of appealing to gop primary voters would be an extremely good candidate. In fact if the dems nominate Hillary she will lose to him and lose badly. Niether would be seen as a change candidate or as agianst the war but McCain would be seen as mr good guy by partison and Hillary as polarizing. If dems nominate Hillary and they go with McCain their least divisive figure we  deserve to lose this election.

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Has Hillary cost herself the black vote

Ive' been hearing alot of this as well today, no one is buying the Clinton "apology"

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/
Kelsey Morgan, a sales rep in Philadelphia, e-mails:

As someone who basically works from their car, I listen to a lot (OK, way too much) black radio. I can tell you the palpable sense of betrayal and the absolute feeling that African-Americans have been stabbed in the back by someone they thought was their friend has been overwhelming over the airwaves the past 36 hours. Over and over again, I've heard caller after caller they say they'll never vote for Hillary even if she's the nominee.

    Now if she's nominated she's got an angry base against her, good job Hillary!

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new poll Obama up 9 in Iowa

http://www.siouxcityjournal.com/articles /2007/12/14/news/latest_news/6ed995c7ca2 1cbe5862573b1005dc02e.txt

Presidential candidates Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee hold 9-point leads in Iowa with less than three weeks to go before the Jan. 3 caucuses, according to a new poll conducted for Lee Enterprises newspapers.

The poll, conducted with 500 likely caucus-goers from Dec. 10 through Dec. 13, said Obama, a senator from Illinois, led in the Democratic race with 33 percent, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, who had 24 percent each.

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new poll Obama up 9 in Iowa

http://www.siouxcityjournal.com/articles /2007/12/14/news/latest_news/6ed995c7ca2 1cbe5862573b1005dc02e.txt

Presidential candidates Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee hold 9-point leads in Iowa with less than three weeks to go before the Jan. 3 caucuses, according to a new poll conducted for Lee Enterprises newspapers.

The poll, conducted with 500 likely caucus-goers from Dec. 10 through Dec. 13, said Obama, a senator from Illinois, led in the Democratic race with 33 percent, followed by Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina, who had 24 percent each.

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Clinton campaign on the brink of a collapse

 
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22217110/
 Howard Fineman on the meltdown,
National polls still give Hillary a double-digit lead. Those polls mean nothing. What matters now is not the number but the direction, and Obama is movin' on up at a rapid pace. Little pieces of evidence matter. In Manchester, N.H., the other day, Democratic Gov. John Lynch showed up at the Obama-Oprah rally, ostensibly to introduce Oprah, but, really to cover his bets politically. The newest polls in the state show why: Obama is tied with Hillary, and people are literally exchanging her lawn signs for his. If he can win Iowa - and it remains a big if - Hillary's campaign could collapse. New Hampshire would almost surely go his way. The Culinary Workers in Nevada might well endorse him, as could influential South Carolina Democratic Rep. Jim Clyburn. Black Democrats have complained for years that Iowa and New Hampshire are "too white." But the irony is, South Carolina African-Americans I talked to last weekend want to see if Obama can win white votes before they commit to him. There is no better way of doing that than in Iowa and New Hampshire. And don't forget something else: he has 150,000 online contributors. He can raise cash fast.

      People in NH are literally EXCHANGING HER YARDSIGNS FOR HIS!

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Iowa poll Obama 33 Clinton 25 Edwards 24

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/

Huckabee and Obama continue to lead in Iowa according to a new Strategic Vision (R) poll which will be released tomorrow. On the Democratic side, Obama leads with 33% of the vote and Clinton and Edwards are statistically tied for second with 25% and 24%. Biden and Richardson each received 4%.

On the Republican side, Huckabee leads with 30% while Romney has 25%. Thompson came in third with 13% followed by Giuliani with 10% and McCain with 5%. The poll was conducted December 8 to 10 with 600 people from each party. The margin of error is 4.5%.

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Iowa poll Obama 33 Clinton 25 Edwards 24

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/

Huckabee and Obama continue to lead in Iowa according to a new Strategic Vision (R) poll which will be released tomorrow. On the Democratic side, Obama leads with 33% of the vote and Clinton and Edwards are statistically tied for second with 25% and 24%. Biden and Richardson each received 4%.

On the Republican side, Huckabee leads with 30% while Romney has 25%. Thompson came in third with 13% followed by Giuliani with 10% and McCain with 5%. The poll was conducted December 8 to 10 with 600 people from each party. The margin of error is 4.5%.

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