• comment on a post Obama 'lied', Illini gas tax holiday successful over 5 years ago


    How to enforce this? Make it against the law for oil companies to pass the price of the windfall profits tax on to consumers, and then audit the oil companies' books. It is not a difficult accounting exercise to tax excess profits above a certain gross percentage per barrel of oil, or gallon of gas. . . .

    Accounting books won't (boldly) declare which parts of the profits are from passing on the price of the windfall profits tax. Any implementation will border on price fixing, which will never pass the US congress and even if it did, in the current case, Bush will veto that.

    HRC is employing pure pandering with something that won't (even if the price won't rise due to increased demand from a false sense of saving money; economists predict that demand and prices will rise) save much more than $25-35 per an average car, and it could have bad impact on the economy. This is bad policy and that's why 150 economists+scientists (including 3 Nobel prize winning economists) have issued a statement calling out the hoax. What are George Frost's credentials compared to those of Prof. Stiglitz, a Nobel prize winning economist who was one of those that issued the statement?

  • on a comment on Team Obama sleep well... over 5 years ago

    tomorrow, essentially.

    Obama will only need 15 PDs to clinch a pledged delegate victory if we use pollster.com averages for tomorrow's results (and split PDs proportionally):


    Pledged delegates needed after 5/6:
    (using pollster.com averages for NC and IN)

    Obama: 15
    Clinton: 172

    Even in a highly optimistic scenario for HRC


    PDs needed after 5/6:
    (using SUSA predictions for NC and IN +  give all the undecideds and a 5% switch to HRC)

    Obama: 36
    Clinton: 151


    she would need a whopping over 80% of the remaining PDs after tomorrow.

    Super delegates are NOT going to overturn a pledged delegate victory by Obama (except is extreme conditions which do not and will not exist).

  • on a comment on Zogby or SUSA? over 5 years ago

    he's totally unelectable, but, but, but, could you be tempted to a "dream" ticket? Wouldn't that be totally cool!!

  • comment on a post Zogby or SUSA? over 5 years ago

    plus all the undecideds and switch 5% from Obama to HRC (she'd then win both NC and IN), the pledgded delegates needed after tomorrow would be:


    PDs needed after 5/6:
    Obama: 36
    Clinton: 151

    i.e. she'd still need 80% of the remaining pledged delegates.

    If we simply use pollster.com averages for NC and IN, needed PDs after tomorrow to clinch a PD victory (magic number for this is 1618):


    PDs needed after 5/6:
    Obama: 15
    Clinton: 172

    That's over 90% needed by Clinton.

    It's over. Tomorrow night would be a good time to concede, Sen. Hillary Clinton.

    Super delegates should look at this reality and wrap this up by wednesday so that Obama can turn his attention to McCain.

    ps: I'll post the spreadsheet used for these shortly.

  • http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/3 /10/74347/9339/502/473422
    http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/2 /20/11354/7731/262/460441
  • comment on a post Is Hillary-Hate Sustaining Obama Supporters? over 5 years ago

    Most people are smarter than to fall for such trickery over an extended period of time.

  • HuffPo, DKos


  • Clinton-Backer McAuliffe Threatened To Strip Rogue Delegates In 2004 Cycle
    By Eric Kleefeld - April 26, 2008, 3:05PM
  • comment on a post Hey Huff Post - It's Howard Dean That Went "Nuclear" over 5 years ago

    And we know what McAuliffe said in 2004:


    "You won't deny us seats at the convention," he said.

    "Carl, take it to the bank," I said. "They will not get a credential. The closest they'll get to Boston will be watching it on television. I will not let you break this entire nominating process for one state. The rules are the rules. If you want to call my bluff, Carl, you go ahead and do it."

    We glared at each other some more, but there was nothing much left to say. I was holding all the cards and Levin knew it.

    It's Clinton supporting Dem leadership in FL and MI that created the mess in the first place. It's they who should be blamed for the fiasco.

  • comment on a post White Bloggers' Ignorance Isn't Hillary's Bliss over 5 years ago

    why not try to build bridges and unite people?

    There is at least one good example of someone working to do the latter (and whom a strong majority of people on what you call the "whitosphere" support!)

  • comment on a post Setting the Record Straight on the Gas Tax over 5 years ago
    if that, and is potentially bad for the environment. Pure, unbridled pandering is all that this "holiday" is.

    Gas Tax Math:

    1. An average car is driven about 12K miles per year. That's 1K miles per month. According to answers.com, the average mileage for an average car is 17 miles per gallon. That gives us 58.8 gallons per month for an average car. At 0.184c tax savings/pandering per gallon,  savings from the summer gas tax suspension comes to $32.5 for 3 months. For cars that get higher mileage, say 25 mpg, the figure would be around $22 savings for the summer.

    2. Economists think that the increase in demand is likely to push up gas prices and hence even these small savings may come to naught at the end of the day. Several economists (including Nobel prize winners Heckman (2000), Stiglitz (2001) and Kahneman (2002)) issued this statement (pdf) opposing the proposed tax suspension pandering by Clinton and McCain.

    3. Any increase in consumption is bad for the environment. Al Gore probably doesn't agree with it.

    4. A Gallon of Truth: Obama's gas tax math is correct.


  • comment on a post How Obama Should Do In NC On Tuesday over 5 years ago

    to have any reasonable shot at catching up to him on pledged delegates as follows form basic arithmetic on the remaining pledged delegates at stake.  

    As of now, Obama is on pace to clinch a pledged delegate victory on 5/20.

  • comment on a post Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama over 5 years ago

    life.

    The possible answer on the impact is: a small blip in Obama's numbers (due to the tag teaming between the righwing nutjobs and the Clinton camp in Wrightboating Obama via Guilt by association (GBA) in  keeping this  in the headlines and 24/7 on the TV shows) but I sense that it's impact is fading (probably more pronouncedly so with Dems and Indies). People are initially susceptible to GBA tricks but eventually they sort things out and tire of and turn against such trickery.

    As for "electability," at the end of the day, Wrights words are NOT Obama's words (similar to how Doug Coe's words are not HRC's) and Wright doesn't think for Obama (as became clear from Wright's NPC appearance). OTOH, Clinton owns her Tuzla lie.

  • on a comment on I Just Don't Get It over 5 years ago

    "And, if Obama had been in the Congress he would have done the same thing."

    In addition to his Oct'02 speech, he repeatedly said he would've voted against it:

    And see: Russert misleadingly cropped Obama comment to claim he wasn't 'firmly wedded against the war' link

  • on a comment on I Just Don't Get It over 5 years ago

    Congress' because it handed the authority to wage a war to Bush.

    Hillary Clinton and John McCain were among those members of that congress that voted to pass the authorization. Those 77 senators and over 250 members of the house all share the responsibility for war materializing along with Bush (, Cheney and others).

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