SurveyUSA - Democrats lead in Iowa
by Namtrix, Sun Sep 23, 2007 at 02:14:54 PM EDT
The latest poll from SurveyUSA has all three Democratic candidates running ahead of their Republican rivals in Iowa.
- Clinton defeats each Republican by single digits. She tops Giuliani by 8 (50% to 42%), Thompson by 6 (50% to 44%), and Romney by 7 (50% to 43%).
- Obama beats Giuliani by the same margin as Clinton (50% to 42%), but wins by 10 against Thompson and Romney (51% to 41% in both match-ups).
- Edwards continues to perform the best, defeating Giuliani by 14 points (53% to 39%), Thompson by 17 points (54% to 37%), and Romney by 16 points (54% to 38%).
My comments: These numbers, like the results in Missouri, are much better for Obama. As I noted before, Obama only runs worse in the states he hasn't spent much time in. That is to be expected because he's the new candidate in this race. Hillary Clinton has been on the national stage for 15 years while John Edwards has been campaigning for president since 2003 and has actually been on the ballot in all 50 states.
Right now, Obama is running strong in states like Iowa, Missouri, and Colorado because they're early voting states (CO and MO vote on Feb 5) -- Obama has spent more time on them to win the nomination. By contrast, Ohio doesn't vote until after Feb 5, making it rather pointless to focus on it now. But should Obama become the nominee, expect those numbers in Ohio to shift dramatically.
Edwards supporters can also rejoice over the fact that John Edwards remains the strongest contender against the Republicans -- but the most important thing to me is that all of our candidates are winning.