"A Dozen Reasons Why McCain Won't Win: Money-Back Guarantee"

Here are a dozen, guaranteed, money back reasons why John McCain won't be the next president. (I can only offer a limited-time, money-back guarantee, since unfortunately I can't control world events.)

1. The McBush factor. McCain's support of the Iraq War will make it impossible for him to break from Bush, the most unpopular president in living memory. The photo of McCain hugging and being kissed by Bush will become increasingly embedded in the collective consciousness of the American people as the months roll on.

2. The Republican factor. Yes, McCain is a Republican. He will not be able to deny this fact. Currently, this is not the best party to have behind you in a push to the White House. Witness the recent loss of three traditionally Republican congressional seats and the declining number of Americans willing to identify themselves as Republicans. And then there are the comments of Congressman Tom Davis. "The political atmosphere facing House Republicans this November is the worst since Watergate and is far more toxic than it was in 2006" (NY Times, May 15th, 2008).

3. The Last War Syndrome. McCain and the operatives running his campaign are like generals fighting the last war. They are still convinced that negative advertising will be as successful against Obama as it was against Kerry. However, "The Times They are A-Changin." And this leads to the next factor.

4. The Change Factor: Hillary tried experience, but this race is about change and the future. McCain appears to be operating a time machine that has only a reverse gear.

5. The Money Factor: Obama can raise a lot more, and a lot more quickly.....enough said.

6. The Age Factor: McCain's age will hurt him. (I am not claiming that this is fair, but seems to be a fact. Older voters are especially concerned about McCain's age.)

7. The Not So Straight-talk Factor: McCain has built his reputation on being a man of principle. This has two features: he believes in something and he sticks with what he believes in. McCain has recently begun to backpedal on principles and commitments. He is vulnerable to being viewed as a flip-flopper, if not dishonest, which will undermine his hitherto greatest strength.

8. The Organizational Factor: The evidence thus far suggests that Obama has a far better campaign organization. There will be a volunteer gap, that is, Obama will have a lot more of them and they will be more enthusiastic than McCain's campaign workers.

9. The Skeleton Factor: The Keating Five and lobbyists, need I say more.

10. The Anger Problem: It's real.

11. The Crass and Crude Comment Problem: A corollary to the anger problem. He has made outrageous, crude, sometimes vile remarks, and most Americans don't know about them, yet. For examples, see http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/4/8/1 7456/91972/887/492360

12. And last, but not least, The Lack of Background in Economics Factor. McCain has acknowledged that he needs to read up on economics. Not great for building confidence in a candidate in the midst of a recession.

Okay, that's twelve. But let's make it a baker's dozen.

13. The "My Friends" Factor. I don't believe that Americans will be prepared to live with four or eight years of being addressed by John McCain as, "My Friends," especially when it is followed by that rather strange little grin.

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Tags: Democratic Party, economics, Election, Iraq War, John McCain, mccain, obama, Presidency, Presidential Race, Republican Party, Republicans (all tags)

Comments

5 Comments

Money!

I've said this over and over again. Obama has more money and more fund raising abilities then McCain. He's gonna be able to run McCain into the ground with ads, and GOTV. This has got to be his biggest advantage in a year where there are a lot of advantages for Democrats.

by hnic357 2008-05-15 07:35PM | 0 recs
The superdelegates are convinced that either

candidate will beat McCain. It's only a question now of who they'd rather have as president.

by 79blondini 2008-05-15 07:46PM | 0 recs
Number 14

14. He looks like a fish out of water...I mean when he speaks he just doesn't look comfortable or confident...He's a bad actor trying out for a part in Caddyshack...Obama gains 7% just for being on the same stage with him...

by hootie4170 2008-05-15 07:50PM | 0 recs
Today was a reminder of our strengths

When George W. McDouchebag went to Israel to blast the Democratic Party and Barack Obama, and John McCain and Zell Lieberman backed Georgie up, I knew the fight was ON. And oh boy am I excited!  

McCain won't be able to lock Bush up in a closet.

by elrod 2008-05-15 09:28PM | 0 recs
Re:BLOWOUT - Eithe Way with Obama

Any other conventional democratic candidate whether Dodd, Biden, H. Clinton, Clark, Bayh, Edwards, Gore & even Kerry would be heavily favored to win in November 2008.

For obvious reasons that you just elaborated & more.

Worse Economy, Worse war since Vietnam, worse Gas Prices since the 70's, highest foreclosures & job losses in two decades.

Its an Almost Perfect Scenario for the political opposition. In this case, the democrats.

This is probably as sure as any democrat will ever get. As close to Reagan's win over Mondale.

But will all that said, it looks like the democratic party has decided to go with the "Most Unconvention Candidate" ever in U.S. presidential history.

I don't care if one is a die hard Obama fan. One thing every democrat can agree on is the Obama candidacy in November would without a doubt have the Highest Risk of Any democratic candidate in our bench.

From his...

a) Very Thin Resume
b) to his uncommon non-western name of Barack Hussein Obama
c) to his roots of growing up with a father & step father who are muslim ( with the U.S. being at war with two muslim nations)
d) to his Race as an African-American
e) to his less explored past since he is virtually a rookie in the national political stage

Can he win in November? Oh Absolutely ! Any candidate that Democrats field in November will have a fair shot at winning it all. The odds are just simply stacked against the GOP today.

But can he also lose ? Oh Very possible! Can he end up losing by a big margin particularly in the Electoral college? Of course, very possible.

Since Obama will be an unconventional candidate never seen before, anything unconventional happening is very possible.

See, with the conventional democratic candidates, this November will be Much More about the Bush Record & the Republican Party. The GOP will be at the defensive.

But with Obama, this election will be much more about Barack Obama himself rather than McCain.

Most if not all americans know who McCain is. Millions of americans have seen & followed him over the many years of his service.

Let me make a bold prediction. My prediction is actually in agreement with several political pundits such as Dee Dee Myers, Pat Buchanan, Al Hunt, & Dick Morris.

That prediction is :

Obama will either win Big across america & carry not only blue states but  carry states like Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, & Missouri.

OR

Obama will lose by an electoral landslide in November. He would lose even traditional Blue states like PA,NJ,NH,MA combined with being swept om battleground states like OH,FL,NM,NV,IA,WI,MN,CO.

It would be either a blowout win or a blowout loss with Obama as the head of the ticket.

by labanman 2008-05-15 09:45PM | 0 recs

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