Gallup on Clinton & Obama in GE
by miker2008, Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 01:29:59 PM EDT
Apologies if this has been posted already. I just saw it, and any case it's worth repeating as the DNC and MSM increase their frantic drumbeat to get Obama the nomination before everyone wakes up and smells the coffee.
If Democrats actually want to hold the White House (which historically, for Democrats, has never been entirely clear), then Gallup's article should give them pause:
Obama and his supporters consistently claim that big blue states will go for him in November no matter what, so it doesn't matter that Clinton won the primaries in virtually every one of those states. However, Gallup would beg to differ with Mr. Obama's analysis. In summary:
"In the 20 states where Hillary Clinton has claimed victory in the 2008 Democratic primary and caucus elections (winning the popular vote), she has led John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily trial heats for the general election over the past two weeks of Gallup Poll Daily tracking by 50% to 43%. In those same states, Barack Obama is about tied with McCain among national registered voters, 45% to 46%."
"In contrast, in the 28 states and the District of Columbia where Obama has won a higher share of the popular vote against Clinton in the 2008 Democratic primaries and caucuses, there is essentially no difference in how Obama and Clinton each fare against McCain. Both Democrats are statistically tied with him for the fall election."