after the big night, now what?
by mikelow1885, Wed Feb 06, 2008 at 07:56:30 AM EST
A near-draw. Obama wins most of the red states, Hillary wins the solid blue states (except Illinois).
So now what? Barack Obama has a money edge and the advantage in the remaining February states. Obama is favored in Washington state and Louisiana, and in the Beltway primary (though it will be close). Obama is likely the favorite in Wisconsin. Clinton has the slight edge in overall delagates, plus the Michigan and Florida wins.
But March 4 could change the scenario. Texas, with the Latino vote, and Ohio, where economic issues will dominate, will likely go to Clinton. She will regain a clear advantage in this race.
The key to November will be how to meld the Obama and Clinton bases together, which would be a powerful coalition. If not a Clinton-Obama ticket, how best to do this? Sen. Webb? Wesley Clark?
I still think Clinton-Obama would be strongest.