SUSA general election poll from Wisconsin - Democrats with small lead
by LeftistAddiction, Wed Sep 26, 2007 at 06:56:08 AM EDT
Like all these states, Wisconsin favors Democrats -- but only by small margins!
Full analysis (and more polls, including NJ GE) at CampaignDiaries.com.
8 out of 9 matchups are won by Democrats.
- Clinton beats Giuliani by 4% (48-44). She leads Thompson by only 2, and Romney by 9 (50-41).
- Obama wins all three matchups as well. He beats Giuliani by 3 (46-43), Thompson by 5 (48-43), and Romney by 15 (52-37).
- Edwards, in a stark contrast to what we are used to seeing, does WORSE than Obama and Clinton against Giuliani, and loses 45-44! But he leads by 9 against Thompson (49-40) and 18 against Romney.
Poll link here.
Wisonsin has been among the tightest states in both 2000 and 2004. In fact, Bush had a large lead here much of the 2004 cycle and Kerry ended up winning the state by the smallest of margins. No one ever really pays attention to Wisconsin since Ohio and Florida are so much bigger, but it is really a crucial state with 10 electoral votes.
What is striking in this poll is not that the numbers are so close, but rather that Edwards is the one Democrat who loses a matchup. That is not at all what we have been using to seeing in the past few weeks. Look at the Missouri numbers. Or the Ohio one. Both have Edwards running significantly better than his rivals in the general election.
More analysis at CampaignDiaries.com.