No doubt Dems face a turnout issue next year. But would withdrawing from Afghanistan (or deploying fewer new troops) bring the Dem base to the polls?
If it did, I certainly think that any increased turnout in Dems would be far outweighed by the hawks of the Republican base - a thus far unanimated part of the GOP, and distinct from the birther/healthcare crazies that are already frothing to vote for Bachmannites. In other words, Dems would face minimally increased turnout, but the GOP would be able to gin up a huge amount of enthusiasm in a thus-far untapped part of their base.
Of course, I don't think that FoPo decisions should be based too much on public opinion. But any analysis of the politics of Obama's Afghan decision is woefully (- irresponsibly?) incomplete if it ignores the repercussions of whatever alternative choices are/are not on the table.
It's not my sense that hard-line opposition to troop increases in Afghanistan extends far beyond some corners of the blogosphere and Congress. Am interested to see the roll-out and how it's perceived in the ensuing months.
My guess is that if Afghanistan is going to hurt Obama politically, it takes at least 12 months.
This post was weird. The mention of the fact that McAuliffe has supported losing presidential candidates seems irrelevant. Perhaps meant as pushback against the narrative that he's likely to win this primary? Still, seems like a gratuitous lowblow.
I must say, though, as an Obama supporter, Terry was the one Clinton guy that never bothered me because he was exclusively focused on the positives of his candidate. I'm not sure if you were criticizing Terry for the "kiss my ass" quote or for taking credit for helping Obama win, but as is obvious to most, the "kiss my ass" quote bothered exactly zero people (a very harmless joke), and working for four months to help Obama win is indeed part of his resume. Where's the beef here?
Who will that person be? We don't know yet, because the primary hasn't taken place. Look, in all probability should the person who ultimately gets chosen by Democratic voters be supported by the Senate appointee? Yes.
But we don't know who that is! William Jefferson won a primary in his district. He sucks. So does Bob Kerrey. Wasn't David Duke a Democrat at one point? My point is, it's just stupid to endorse someone who doesn't exist.
If this is your reason for disqualifying her, I would offer that you reconsider.