• Actually, it also says she had to take a required course before graduating in 2010, so it wasn't just that she hadn't paid up -- she really hadn't met the graduation requirements.

  • Once again we see that elections don't matter: when Republicans are elected president they appoint conservative, pro-corporation, anti-worker Republicans to lead the Federal Reserve. When Democrats are elected president they re-appoint conservative, pro-corporation, anti-worker Republicans to lead the Federal Reserve. Remind me again why we worked so hard and contributed so much money to get Obama elected?

    Seriously, when was the last time a Democrat actually appointed someone who shared Democratic party values to this job?

  • comment on a post Open Thread over 5 years ago

    These are Zogby's infamous "interactive" polls.

    They are not scientific samples; they are just based on heavily weighted and post-hoc-manipulated convenience samples of people who opt in to his panel. Do you want to join his panel? No problem! The page Jerome links to for the poll has a link to the sign-up page here:

    http://interactive.zogby.com/pollregistr ation/registration/index.cfm?refsite=nrb anner

    Sign up, by all means!

    I am an academic survey researcher and one of my specialties is election poll reliability. Zogby's telephone surveys are mediocre; his "interactive" surveys are such crap you can't even call them surveys. They are absolute garbage. They are every which way. Up, down, left, right. They are not worth looking at. They should not be included in our electoral maps or strategic calculations.

    They are absolute garbage. To say that they are worthless would be an understatement. They are actually worse than useless, because people take them seriously and waste their time on them. Jerome, I'm frankly surprised that you of all people don't know better by know. Your old buddy Chris figured this one out a long time ago. :)

    Thanks for all your other great work, though!

  • comment on a post Open Thread over 5 years ago

    These are Zogby's infamous "interactive" polls.

    They are not scientific samples; they are just based on heavily weighted and post-hoc-manuplated convenience samples of people who opt in to his panel. Do you want to join his panel? No problem? The page Jerome links to for the poll has a link to the sign-up page here:

    http://interactive.zogby.com/pollregistr ation/registration/index.cfm?refsite=nrb anner

    Sign up, by all means!

    I am an academic survey researcher and one of my specialties is election poll reliability. Zogby's telephone surveys are mediocre; his "interactive" surveys are such crap you can't even call them surveys. They are absolute garbage. They are every which way. Up, down, left, right. They are not worth looking at. They should not be included in our electoral maps or strategic calculations.

    They are absolute garbage. To say that they are worthless would be an understatement. They are actually worse than useless, because people take them seriously and waste their time on them. Jerome, I'm frankly surprised that you of all people don't know better by know. Your old buddy Chris figured this one out a long time ago. :)

    Thanks for all your other great work, though!

  • comment on a post The Earmarks McCain Used To Mock over 5 years ago

    McCain has been promising that he'd take the big earmark-grubbing politicians and make sure that "you'll know their names" and that he'd "make 'em famous". He sure kept his promise. He took the most pork-gorged politician there is and we sure do know her name. He made her famous, just as he promised!

  • comment on a post GOP Abandons CA Electoral "Dirty Trick" Initiative over 6 years ago

    The Constitution gives the power of determining the method of selecting presidential electors to the state legislatures alone. Even if they could pass it by popular vote, it would be laughed out of federal court in a minute. I'm guessing that's the real reason they dropped this.

  • It's pretty hard to see how standing up for Habeas Corpus and resting our troops could possibly hurt the Dems. This is a real make-or-break spine test for us.

  • Why take a chance alienating swing voters when the party already made its point by sending the president a deadline bill that he vetoed?

    This quote exposes the biggest flaw in Rothenberg's argument.

  • Minority parties make points.
  • Majority parties make policy.

    Perhaps the Party's leaders cared most about making a point; the party's base desperately wanted them to end the war. And as Matt correctly points out (bolstered by the poll results), they failed miserably in both regards.

    Note to Stuart Rothenberg (who seems to be capable of reading poll results in all other matters): The swing voters want to end this war!

  • comment on a post Habeas Polling Project: Meet the Pollster over 6 years ago

    Hi, Guy, and welcome to MyDD!

    If I'm not mistaken, you were buds with my brother, Jeremy, in high school :)

    -- Joel (Bloom)

  • comment on a post MyDD Reader Survey, Part One: Demographic Info over 7 years ago
    Chris,
    To squeeze more questions out of each round, try the "matrix" format. The columns can be, for example "strongly agree" through "strongly disagree" or the same thing with approval. Then each row would in effect be its own question, even though they count as only one question. Best,
    -- Joel
  • Way, way back many Friedman units ago when he wrote "From Beirut to Jerusalem." Then he was a real journalist and a serious thinker. Now? Not so much.

  • Quick follow-up:
    CTVoter's excellent point about Lieberman no longer being able to make things "bipartisan" by his mere existence, along with the oft-noted phenomenon of his general powerlessness to shape the Senate or national agenda makes his switch more likely, not less. Lieberman is a petulant egocentrist and he will not take well to being irrelevant. If he finds that the only thing he can do to puff himself up and be noticed is to switch control over the Senate, that's what he will do.

    We should keep a very close eye on his voting patterns on bills on various topics (unless of course he bolts within the next two weeks, which is a real possibility) to look for any early cleaving to the Republican line on bills where he would have voted with the Ds in the past.

    Seriously, is there any chance that Susan Collins or another Republican might switch? I have to assume that Reid and others are working on it behind the scenes. Any rumors?

  • comment on a post Assessing the Lieberman-Lamont Race over 7 years ago

    The worst outcome is this:

  • Lamont Wins Primary;
  • Lieberman Wins General;
  • Lieberman Seethes;
  • Lieberman Backs Bush on his escalation in Iraq in such strong terms that:
  • Lieberman feels personally betrayed by all the Democrats voting for the Kennedy anti-escalation resolution, so:
  • Lieberman caucuses with the Republicans.

    You want a worst case? That's your worst case. Unless the Dems can find a Republican switcher and quickly, we're going to be calling Mitch McConnell "Mr. Majority Leader."

  • comment on a post Kerry Takes Another Stupid Pill... over 7 years ago

    Um, except I'm a lifelong loyal Democrat, which is kind of, you know, the opposite of trolling. I held my nose and voted for Kerry once. I believe I'm allowed to try to influence the 2008 nomination without being accused of being a troll.

  • That's great to hear -- thanks for the info!

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