Dem Veepstakes: Pre-season
by jgkojak, Wed Aug 29, 2007 at 07:02:45 AM EDT
Dodd's recent endorsement by the firefighters and his strong performance in the debates has me thinking about the veepstakes. Who is in the running for each respective nominee?
If Dodd manages some third place finishes, my thought is that he may be #2 on Clinton's veep list, especially given polls showing the only blue state flipped by Guiliani is Connecticut.
Below the fold... some rankings for each candidate...
1. Mark Warner: He fits the profile perfectly- a telegenic, competent centrist popular in a purple state. Winning Virginia I would think, with Arkansas, allow the Dems to win the Gore/Kerry states without Ohio and still win. It gives them a lot of wiggle room. And Warner is likely the one veep who could deliver a double-digit electoral vote state.
2. Chris Dodd: If its Guiliani, would it make sense to tap Dodd to win Connecticut? Possibly. Dodd has also proves competent, intelligent, would make a great Dem attack dog and perform well in debates. He could also assist in mobilizing union voters for a Hillary ticket.
3. Tom Vilsack: To me, this would be the least inspired choice (though anyone who choses a Celine Dionne song for their campaign theme...) Bonus it would probably take Iowa out of play, but not sure its gonna be in play this time.
1. Jim Webb: Obama needs national security on his ticket. Given his already potent Republican crossover potential, how's abouts putting Reagan's former Navy Secretary on the ticket, and being incredibly competitive in Virginia to boot (any state with a double digit African American population is potent for Obama).
2. Wes Clark: Obama will probably win Arkansas without him, but Wes would also add enough foreign policy heft and is certainly good on the stump. But Obama has plenty of charisma of his own.
3. Bill Bradley: Adds foreign policy heft, solid in African American community, take NJ out of play, no one could say Bradley is not a solid choice.
1. Bill Richardson: Edwards needs two things- a non-white or non-male and foreign policy heft. Bill Richardson provides both, helps Edwards in the west where he could be competitive. I haven't been impressed by Richardson in debates, but he's solid otherwise.
2. Kathleen Sebelius: Tapping the KS Gov seems counter-intuitive, and if Guiliani is the nominee he doesn't have the luxury, but it gives him a solid veep candidate, perhaps makes Kansas comepetitive if Romney is the nominee.
3. Jim Webb: Yeah, its two southern males, but Webb and Edwards speak the same populist language and would probably open up races in VA, AR, and NC.
4. Bill Bradley: Helps in NJ, see Obama above.
In the overall veepstakes, the top five:
- Mark Warner
- Jim Webb
- Chris Dodd
- Bill Richardson
- Bill Bradley