• comment on a post Republicans on 08 over 7 years ago

    John McCain is probably the most successfully oversold brand in politics.

    The only advantage Dems are gaining on McCain now is that Obama is now sucking some of McCain's oxygen out of the media's adoring elite.

  • comment on a post Tim Johnson Has Stroke over 7 years ago

    I'm just curious, because he's toward the older end of the normal age range for a first cardiovascular episode.  Plus, frankly, if politicians can hide a stroke (I still think Bush had one in 2004) they do.

  • comment on a post Prepping for the Ugly over 7 years ago

    Simon really lets one slide past with this:

    One of the first acts of the revolutionary Iranian government was to end up in a war with Iraq, a war that lasted 8 years and cost more than a one million lives.

    What an absolute chickenshit way to mis-state history.  Gutless.

    The Iraqis started the damned war.  No question.  Iraq laid claim to part of Iran.  Iraq was the first to send forces across the border.

    Tell Simon to get his goddamned history right before he goes off trying to fan the flames.

    The truth is, on a larger historical scale, there is little reason to believe that an engaged Iran would not be a fairly peaceful and reasonable actor on the international stage.

    Iran is culturally an isolationist country.  Their economy is teetering with rampant unemployment.  They depend entirely on the continued flow of oil to provide the buttresses to a weak economy.

    Persians are seen as ethnically separate from Arabs, and many Arab Shi'ites don't particularly like their meddling.

    The only way this scenario plays out is if we -- as we have done in the past -- force this scenario on Iran.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    Hate to say so, but very little of this is well-thought out or purposeful.

    Perhaps we should do like other countries and elect a leftist economist.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    We tend to frame presidents very poorly in hindsight.

    Nixon was a very important president on the larger historic scale.  Aligning the US with China laid the groundwork for the destruction of the Soviet Union by isolating the Soviet Union as just another incarnation of imperial Russia.

    He was also the last Republican who wasn't batshit crazy against social programs.  On the other hand, he was batshit crazy.

    Lincoln was an awful president.  Count against him every soldier who had to die because Lincoln played musical chairs with the officer corps for four years.  And not only did he piss around freeing the blacks, but somehow Lyndon Johnson ended up having to do it again 100 years later.

    FDR is hard to gauge in seriousness because the crisis he faced required one and only one response.  To the extent he exercised will to move the government into the economy, will that Hoover lacked, FDR deserves credit.  

    Sorry... I'm not a big fan of historical symbols because few if any of them compared in their lifetimes to what we make them into.  

    Look no further than Reagan.  Reagan largely reaped the rewards of Nixon's repositioning of America in the Great Game.  Yet, who gets the credit?

    In truth, conservative economic policies dominant globally during the 1980s almost triggered a second Great Depression.  Yet, somehow, Reagan is remembered as a great because a group of Republicans built him up as a partisan symbol they had lacked since they abandoned Lincoln to the wolves.

    We should tread carefully before applying these symbols to current candidates because our mileage may vary from the factory tested mileage we think these comparison are.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    My problem with Obama is he looks very hollow.  This is a man who is going to have to do a lot in the next couple years for me to take him seriously.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    You are aware that the majority of serious efforts to analyze Lincoln's presidency conclude he was one of the worst presidents ever, right?

    His handling of the Army of the Potomac, coupled with ridiculous micromanaging likely extended the war at least two years longer than it should have been.

    Also, Lincoln offered up the lives of black slaves for three years trying to buy the South off into returning to the Union.

    Lincoln was grossly incompetent and a terrible president by any measure.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    There are a lot of people who should never be president who meet those criteria.  Hell, Bush does.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    The truth is, whoever had the misfortune of leading post-Vietnam America was screwed.

    The Republicans knew this and that's why they threw Gerald Ford to the wolves in '76.

    When you compound post-Vietnam with the Iranian Revolution, rampant inflation and Soviet aggression, it is hard to see how anyone could have done any better than Carter.

  • comment on a post State of the Union 2007: Back to Outer Space? over 7 years ago

    That's assuming the Bushies don't somehow trigger an insurgency.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    I don't think he is going to run.  Which is too bad, because he is a miles better man now than he was in 2000.  Few people have gained more in defeat than Al Gore.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    One term in the Senate just isn't enough.  Edwards is likeable, but if he really wants to sell me, he needs to run for governor or some other office that would build his qualifications.

  • comment on a post Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    Obama - inexperienced.

    Hillary - Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton is frighteningly similar to a dual-monarchy.  Also, she was wrong on the damned war.

    Edwards - see Obama.  America had its chance to buy a puppy in 2004.

    Clark - can't speak against, but not jumping up and down as relevant right now.

    Biden - HAH!

    Bayh - war.

    Kerry - war + incapable of speaking in public.

    Right now, the only apparent candidates that I would even waste my time going to the polls in spring 2008 for are Richardson and maybe Vilsack.

    First off, because we need someone with experience as a governor.  It is the only job that vaguely resembles being president.  All these Senators need to just pack their bags and go home.

    Secondly, because Richardson is the only candidate right now who doesn't make me want to either gag (Biden, Hillary) or sit there and wonder whether they're a joke (Obama, Edwards).

    Third -- anyone who supported the war is off the table.  No debate, no question.

    Right now, I'd give my right arm to see Gore or Dean find their way into the field.  Especially if Gore shows he can keep the distinct voice he has gained since losing in 2000.

    Dean's young enough that I suspect he is committing himself to fixing the Democratic Party before even joking about ever running for President again.  Truth be told, it ain't a bad idea.

    That said, 2008 is shaping up to be an ugly pig contest, which bodes well for Bloomberg.

  • on a comment on Monday 2008 Thread over 7 years ago

    With Dean as the DNC chair the unofficial policy has become "shut up about guns".

    The truth, the gun issue has always been a distraction from addressing the core cause of violence -- the social destruction caused by a society that seems to encourage poverty as necessary to a capitalist system.

    The gun just happens to be the weapon of choice for that social destruction.

    ---

    More on your point, sure, let's run Jim Webb.  Why not?

    The opposed the war vociferously long before it was even fought.  In 2008, that's going to carry a lot of credibility.

    And if Obama can be considered a serious candidate without fulfilling his Senate, why not Webb?

  • on a comment on Why I Hate John McCain over 7 years ago

    Gotta agree here.  While I admit I would have voted McCain in 2000, six years later, McCain is clearly a well-executed fraud.  

    Like most so-called mavericks and centrists.

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