by photoshopking, Thu May 04, 2006 at 12:16:28 AM EDT
A few weeks ago, I had a post about the rumors of polls being taken by Democratic candidate Ed Perlmutter. The polls, which are fake/non-existent, are the current hot topic on ColoradoPols.com, which I previously stated. Yet after giving the issue some thought, I came to the conclusion that, well, maybe the poll did exist. And, as i have been told, the poll was paid for by the AFL-CIO and was about a minimum wage increase that the labor union is supporting. So Let's think for a moment.
The AFL-CIO endorses a candidate in the most competitive(WaPo, and National Journal) House race in the nation, and they pay for a poll about a seperate issue. Of course, they will ask their respondents a question about this race. The AFL-CIO is going to put a large amount of money, work, and volunteers into this election. And of course a lot of votes.
"Well, wouldn't they pull out of the Perlmutter endorsement if they now know he is weak?"
NO, because they have already endorsed him and that would look bad on their part if they did so. In addition, they already were aware of the fact that Perlmutter was not weak, he strongly supports unions, and that he can win! But that is simple politics, maybe Politics 101...if that.
What I would assume happened was that the AFL-CIO intentionally targeted an audience that is politically inactive, non-voters, that most likely do not read newspapers. That would be because the AFL-CIO is doing what the GOP did in 2004, using statewide ballot iniatitives to turn out more of a vote.
Just take another look at the Press Release from Celinda Lake, it should be evident.
But, how did Lamm beat Perlmutter in the poll?
Well I have already addressed this but... Lamm is a house hold name in Colorado. And Lamm has been more active than Perlmutter in the last few years. She was the chairwoman of the investigation into rape allegations at CU-Boulder. But honestly, it is only May. We have four months until the primary, a lot will change
Now, all of the pieces are coming together.
More Below the fold...