Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

Zogby's final tracking poll is out and he's on crack.

Obama 54.1, McCain 42.7, Other 3.1

No, it's not the results that say Zogby is on crack.  It's the wild swing from a just over 4 point lead just 3-4 days ago.

Tags: mccain, obama, poll, Zogby (all tags)

Comments

9 Comments

Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

isn't Obama good friends with John Zogby?

by Lakrosse 2008-11-03 08:23PM | 0 recs
He is now

for motivating the GOTV with every skewed poll.

by mydailydrunk 2008-11-04 03:37AM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

How not to be the polling laughing stock on election night, by JZ

by NY Writer 2008-11-03 08:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

I've said it before. Zogby is like a polling soap opera. I bet the wild swings in his tracking poll have more to do with him trying to figure out where Obama will land than the actual polling responses he's been getting. Just a theory.

by phoenixdreamz 2008-11-03 08:34PM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

Yeah, but that Other could break hard for McCain.

Nah, I got nothing - it's just ridiculous.

by Jess81 2008-11-03 08:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

The reason, I think, that Zogby is at 11 is because the one-day sample from Friday, that actually had McCain up by 2 points, rolled off. That is what kept Obama's numbers down.

I know no one likes Zogby, but I don't think he makes things up. And he has seemed to catch some trends.

by bear2000 2008-11-03 09:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/series13.as px?src=POLLTOPN

And, check out the final results of all the conservatives favorite poll.....

by fransis 2008-11-03 10:41PM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7
All the polls are running in the same range today. The reason? Nobody wants to be the idiot pollster who was WAY off on election day. So, they thumb the scales a little to keep themselves within the range of other polls.
If everybody's off, the blame gets spread around. But if you're the ONE guy who misses the mark by eight points, you're screwed.
by EvilAsh 2008-11-04 01:42AM | 0 recs
Re: Zogby on crack: Obama 54.1, 42.7

Sorry, I don't buy it. I think Zogby's model is wrong and his samples sometimes poorly chosen, but I don't think he's making this up. You have zero evidence - just conspiratorial thinking - of this.

The fact is Zogby had been in the +9-11 range for Obama save one very bad sample from Friday night that had McCain up 49-47. Remember that? Drudge was singing about it. That sample rolled out of the average and, along with some final movement toward Obama, got Zogby's number where it is.

So, you can complain about his method or whatever, but that is what happened. His numbers just got back in line after that one sample was taken out.

by bear2000 2008-11-04 02:28AM | 0 recs

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