Uh Oh! New AP Polls Show Hillary Ahead In New Hampshire, South Carolina ... And Iowa

Prepare yourselves for a new round of Hillary Hatin'Kerplosions!

It seems MANY people have started dancing on Senator Clinton's grave a bit too early!

A new round of Associated Press/Pew polls from Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina shows Hillary Clinton leading in ALL three Democratic contests.

Monday, December 03
AP Pew Poll   

Iowa Democratic Caucus - Obama 26, Clinton 31, Edwards 19, Richardson 10   

Clinton +5.0

New Hampshire Democratic Primary - Clinton 38, Obama 19, Edwards 15, Richardson 10   

Clinton +19.0

South Carolina Democratic Primary - Clinton 45, Obama 31, Edwards 10   

Clinton +14.0

Uh oh! Is it time for a Obama cultists suicide watch?

Oh no!  This will, of course call for a round of shrieks from  Obama fan boys that AP is ...somehow...in the Clintons pocket... and then that will be followed by ... whiny arguments that this is somehow another...

"desperate attempt" from the "failing and flailing" Clinton campaign that is "COLLAPSING" and "going down like the Titanic"...yada, yada, yada....

Here's some info children -

You are WRONG!

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This poll goes against two other recent polls showing Barack Obama ahead in Iowa, but in all those cases Iowa has been within the margin of error -- meaning that the race for Iowa is almost certainly tight.

BUT IT AINT ALL ABOUT IOWA FOLKS!

ITS ABOUT DELEGATE COUNT! WE GOT OURSELVES A NATIONAL PRIMARY THESE DAYS - SO LETS GET TO IT!!!

Bring it on!

Its gonna get mighty hot in this kitchen in the next month.

Hillary Clinton didnt start this fight - but she sure is gonna finish it.

Its gonna be fun....REAL FUN!

There's more...

More on the "Chicago Caucus": Iowans to Obama - PlayFair!

HELLO CHICAGO!!

UPDATE: As I suggested yesterday, media interest in this story has moved it from David Yepsen's blog at the Des Moines Register to the Politico, to all the Iowa political blogs, to the Baltimore Sun, to the Chicago Tribune, to the Austin American Statesman, to the Chicago Sun Times, to ABC News, to...

Fair or not, this is the media buzz story of the weekend in Iowa.  Maybe not every political reporter is writing about this, but all have now read Yepsen's column and all are talking about "the Illinois Caucus".

December 2, 2007

LYNN SWEET Chicago Sun Times:

WASHINGTON -- A Barack Obama campaign plan to encourage Iowa college students who are not from Iowa to caucus for him Jan. 3 -- especially those from neighboring Illinois -- was spanked Saturday by Iowa's leading political columnist.

While a scheme to make local someone from out of state (or from another district or ward) is business as usual in Chicago -- textbook Illinois and Chicago politics -- someone raised without a Chicago political sensibility may find this tactic offensive. It backfired into a negative column from Iowa's influential David Yepsen of the Des Moines Register.

The idea that Team Obama does not fight fairly has entered the media narrative, now watch how this idea grows in the coming weeks.


Expect to see more stories about Obama's relationship with the "Chicago machine", especially about how he, David Axelrod and Mayor Richard Daley interconnect.


This will also lead to a closer look at how Obama and Axelrod used other "legal" though unethical tactics to clear the field for him in both his State Senate and his US Senate races.  This of course, will also lead to a reevaluation of Obama's relations with his original political supporters from the machine, including, the never mentioned, but soon to be tried Antonio "Tony" Rezko.


Wait, watch and see....it's a-coming...

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Below is my original post  on the "Chicago caucus"

There's more...

Iowans to Obama: PLAY FAIR!

"Hello Chicago!" - Joe Biden's greeting to Obama supporters bussed in to the Iowa Jefferson-Jackson Day dinner.

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Ive been expecting this...

Iowans are getting mad at how Team Obama is filling their events, their streets and now...even planning to fill their caucuses with Illinois folk bussed in from across the state line.

David Yepsen in the Des Moines Register has a piece called "The Illinois Caucus" :

Barack Obama's campaign is telling Iowa college students they can caucus for him even if they aren't from Iowa.

His campaign offers that advice in a brochure being distributed on college campuses in the state.  A spokesman said it's legal and that 50,000 of the fliers are being distributed.

The brochure says: "If you are not from Iowa, you can come back for the Iowa caucus and caucus in your college neighborhood."

Given that lots of students in Iowa's colleges and universities are from Obama's neighboring home state of Illinois, the effort could net him thousands of additional votes on caucus night.

It's not the first time Obama has profited from the fact he's from an adjacent state. Illinois residents routinely show up at the candidate's events in eastern Iowa.  (The first question Obama took at an Iowa town meeting was from a guy from Naperville.)

Also, campaign volunteers come from Illinois to campaign for him. And opposing campaigns accused Obama's campaign of busing people into Iowa from Illinois to attend the recent Jefferson Jackson Dinner, a charge Obama's campaign has denied.

While it's legal for college students to register to vote in Iowa to do that, this raises the question of whether it's fair, or politically smart.   No presidential campaign in memory has ever made such a large, open attempt to encourage students from out of state, many of whom pay out-of-state tuition, to participate in the caucuses. No other campaign appears to be doing it in this campaign cycle.

Tommy Vietor, a spokesman for Obama's campaign, said "we have no intention of doing something here that is in any way illegal or that will raise questions about the credibility of the caucuses." 

That's fine but these are the Iowa caucuses.  Asking people who are "not from Iowa" to participate in them changes the nature of the event.  

And trying to pack the caucuses with people from Illinois might taint Obama's showing.  Polls show Obama is in a close race with Hillary Clinton and John Edwards.  Recent surveys show him with a lead of a few points.  If he wins the Iowa caucuses with Illinois votes, his victory would be discounted by his opponents and media people.

The issue of out-of-state residents caucusing in Iowa came up recently when one of the candidates, Chris Dodd, urged his rivals to promise not to encourage their staffers working in Iowa to register as voters so they could participate in the caucuses here.   Most of them agreed, including Obama's campaign.  (And, frankly, a few hundred staffers wouldn't have much of an impact on the outcome anyway.  Besides, most of those staffers will be working on caucus night and wouldn't have time to participate.)

But turning out-of-state college students into Iowa voters is a different, larger, matter.  Thousands of votes are involved and it risks offending long-time Iowa residents.

But, then, they do politics a little differently in Illinois than they do in Iowa.

From CBS News and Politco by Mike Allen:

Obama warned drive could offend Iowans


The campaign of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) is drawing some local skepticism for a drive to recruit non-Iowans to caucus at their Iowa colleges.

"If you are not from Iowa, you can come back for the Iowa caucus and caucus in your college neighborhood," says a four-page "Students for Barack Obama" brochure provided to Politico.

David Yepsen of the Des Moines Register, the state's leading political commentator, wrote in a blog post called "The Illinois Caucus" that the effort to increase participation by out-of-staters "risks offending long-time Iowa residents."

A Hillary Rodham Clinton campaign official said: "We are not courting out-of-staters. The Iowa caucus ought to be for Iowans."

Chris Dodd for President Iowa State Director Julie Andreeff Jensen said in a statement on Saturday:

"I was deeply disappointed to read today about the Obama campaign's attempt to recruit thousands of out-of-state residents to come to Iowa for the caucuses. ... `New Politics' shouldn't be about scheming to evade either the spirit or the letter of the rules that guide the process. That may be the way politics is played in Chicago, but not in Iowa."

Yepsen wrote that the out-of-state college students' participation would be legal, but said he isn't certain "whether it's fair, or politically smart."

"No presidential campaign in memory has ever made such a large, open attempt to encourage students from out of state, many of whom pay out-of-state tuition, to participate in the caucuses.," he said. "No other campaign appears to be doing it in this campaign cycle."

The question of who can participate was already sticky. In early November, Dodd's campaign staff asked the campaigns to pledge that their out-of-state staff and volunteers would not attempt to caucus. Most of the campaigns signed the pledge.

The Clinton official said: "We have a policy that if you move to Iowa for the express purpose of working on the campaign, you can not caucus."

But team Obama not only wouldnt sign the pledge back then -
NOW theyre actively recruiting "out of staters" to caucus.

Bringing politics "Chicago" and "Obama Style" to Iowa.

NEW KIND OF POLITICS?....Indeed.

Expect this to become a  BIG ISSUE between now and January 3.....BIG...

There's more...

Henry Hyde has Died: In Memorium...

Henry Hyde is now on his way to "the City of Woe".

The former House Impeachment manager is now dead and is soon to be buried.

But what's next for the Congressman?

In which circle of Hell do you think God has placed Henry Hyde?

And where precisely will be his new address for the rest of all time?

---------------

I say, circle 8, "Malebolge" ("Evil Pockets"), what Dante described as the eternal home of "the fradulent" or "evil counselors".

Though then there is the question of what "bolge" in that circle he may be heading to....hmmm?   That IS a "sticky wicket" indeed.  Where exactly does Henry Hyde deserve to go to reply for his wicked deeds? Which pocket or place would be best for Hyde to "enjoy" what the Italian poet called Hell's "sacred justice"?

CIRCLE 8 FRAUD: MALEBOLGE OF FRAUD (ten pockets or pouches for the ten kinds of malicious fraud)

   1.     Panderers, Seducers
    2.     Flatterers
    3.     Simoniacs (sell church favor)
    4.     Fortunetellers
    5.     Grafters (sell political favor)
    6.     Hypocrites
    7.     Thieves
    8.     Evil Counselors
    9.     Sowers of Discord
    10. Falsifiers (Alchemists & Counterfeiters)

What say you?

Vote in the Poll that follows.

Click here for a virtual tour of the former "Impeachment Manager"'s new dwellings.

Personally, Im going with bolge nine - Sowers of Discord. But maybe thats just me...

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Heres the make up of Circle 8 and a Rundown of daily activities for those residing there.

How would you like to see Mr. Hyde spend his days until the End of Times?...

Eighth Circle. The fraudulent--those guilty of deliberate, knowing evil--are located in this circle. It is divided into ten bolgie, or ditches of stone, with bridges spanning the ditches:

Bolgia 1: Panderers and seducers walk in separate lines in opposite directions, whipped by demons. In the group of panderers the poets notice Venedico Caccianemico, and in the group of seducers Virgil points out Jason.(Canto XVIII)

Bolgia 2: Flatterers are steeped in human excrement. (Canto XVIII)

Bolgia 3: Those who committed simony are placed head-first in holes in the rock, with flames burning on the soles of their feet. One of them, Pope Nicholas III, denounces as simonists two of his successors, Pope Boniface VIII and Pope Clement V. (Canto XIX)

Bolgia 4: Sorcerers and false prophets have their heads twisted around on their bodies backward, so they can only see what is behind them and not into the future.(Canto XX)

Bolgia 5: Corrupt politicians (barrators) are immersed in a lake of boiling pitch, guarded by devils, the Malebranche ("Evil Claws"). Their leader, Malacoda ("Evil Tail"), assigns a troop to escort Virgil and Dante to the next bridge. The troop hook and torment Ciampolo, who identifies some Italian grafters and then tricks the Malebranche in order to escape back into the pitch. (Cantos XXI through XXIII)

Bolgia 6: The bridge over this bolgia is broken: the poets climb down into it and find the Hypocrites listlessly walking along wearing gold-gilded lead cloaks. Dante speaks with Catalano and Loderingo, members of the Jovial Friars. It is also ironic in this canto that whilst in the company of hypocrites, the poets also discover that the guardians of the fraudulent (the malebranche) are hypocrites themselves, as they find that they have lied to them, giving false directions, when at the same time they are punishing liars for similar sins. (Canto XXIII)

Bolgia 7: Thieves, guarded by the centaur (as Dante describes him) Cacus, are pursued and bitten by snakes. The snake bites make them undergo various transformations, with some resurrected after being turned to ashes, some mutating into new creatures, and still others exchanging natures with the snakes, becoming snakes themselves that chase the other thieves in turn. (Cantos XXIV and XXV)

Bolgia 8: Fraudulent advisors are encased in individual flames. Dante includes Ulysses and Diomedes together here for their role in the Trojan War. Ulysses tells the tale of his fatal final voyage, where he left his home and family to sail to the end of the Earth. He equated life as a pursuit of knowledge that humanity can attain through effort, and in his search God sank his ship outside of Mount Purgatory. This symbolizes the inability of the individual to carve out one's own salvation. Instead, one must be totally subservient to the will of God and realize the inability of one to be a God unto oneself. Guido da Montefeltro recounts how his advice to Pope Boniface VIII resulted in his damnation, despite Boniface's promise of absolution. (Cantos XXVI and XXVII)

Bolgia 9: A sword-wielding demon hacks at the sowers of discord. As they make their rounds the wounds heal, only to have the demon tear apart their bodies again. Muhammad tells Dante to warn the schismatic and heretic Fra Dolcino. (Cantos XXVIII and XXIX)

Bolgia 10: Groups of various sorts of falsifiers (alchemists, counterfeiters, perjurers, and impersonators) are afflicted with different types of diseases. (Cantos XXIX and XXX)

There's more...

Obama to the People of Iowa: Hey You Hicks - Vote for Me!

The young Barry Hussein Obama may have had the vast and unique "experience" of having been raised in Hawaii and overseas in Indonesia, but as a grown man he sure has a lot to learn about how small town folk here on the "Mainland' feel about being condescended to by big city urbanites.

Obama stepped in a pile of cow patties on Nightline Monday night in an unaired segment of the interview he had with Terry Moran.

But this wasnt the first time Obama has done this ...

Remember, back in the summer, during Obama's first high-profile visit to an Iowa farm he posed the following question:

"Anybody gone into Whole Foods lately and see what they charge for arugula?" he asked. "I mean, they're charging a lot of money for this stuff.

Hmmm...  it has been pointed out that there isnt even a Whole Foods market in the entire state of Iowa....and that Iowans eat ...um..."lettuce".

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Now on to the unaired Wisdom of Obama on just how "articulate" and surprising those Iowa folks are...

There's more...

Obama to the People of Iowa: Hey You Hicks - Vote for Me!

The young Barry Hussein Obama may have had the vast and unique "experience" of having been raised in Hawaii and overseas in Indonesia, but as a grown man he sure has a lot to learn about how small town folk here on the "Mainland' feel about being condescended to by big city urbanites.

Obama stepped in a pile of cow patties on Nightline Monday night in an unaired segment of the interview he had with Terry Moran.

But this wasnt the first time Obama has done this ...

Remember, back in the summer, during Obama's first high-profile visit to an Iowa farm he posed the following question:

"Anybody gone into Whole Foods lately and see what they charge for arugula?" he asked. "I mean, they're charging a lot of money for this stuff.

Hmmm...  it has been pointed out that there isnt even a Whole Foods market in the entire state of Iowa....and that Iowans eat ...um..."lettuce".

----------

Now on to the unaired Wisdom of Obama on just how "articulate" and surprising those Iowa folks are...

There's more...

Obama to the People of Iowa: Hey You Hicks - Vote for Me!

The young Barry Hussein Obama may have had the vast and unique "experience" of having been raised in Hawaii and overseas in Indonesia, but as a grown man he sure has a lot to learn about how small town folk here on the "Mainland' feel about being condescended to by big city urbanites.

Obama stepped in a pile of cow patties on Nightline Monday night in an unaired segment of the interview he had with Terry Moran.

But this wasnt the first time Obama has done this ...

Remember, back in the summer, during Obama's first high-profile visit to an Iowa farm he posed the following question:

"Anybody gone into Whole Foods lately and see what they charge for arugula?" he asked. "I mean, they're charging a lot of money for this stuff.

Hmmm...  it has been pointed out that there isnt even a Whole Foods market in the entire state of Iowa....and that Iowans eat ...um..."lettuce".

----------

Now on to the unaired Wisdom of Obama on just how "articulate" and surprising those Iowa folks are...

There's more...

Obama, Hillary, Polling and Common Sense

Delivered to you FRESH from the Sweethearts at Hillaryiss44.com


Adult Experience

Poor Americans. Yesterday they had to be confused. Common sense told them Hillary is ahead and doing well in the presidential race. Big Media told Americans something else.

A reputable Gallup poll is published showing Hillary ahead, but all Big Media will discuss is a faulty interactive poll which shows Hillary behind. One (1) poll shows Obama barely ahead in Iowa and Big Media uses that one poll to negate all the polls showing Hillary ahead in Iowa, nationwide, and just about everywhere else. Little wonder that Americans do not trust their media. And Big Blogs which were supposed to be a remedy to Big Media misinformation - are no better.

We can only conclude that Americans will once again be surprised by the election results when Hillary wins.

While Big Media/Big Blogs continued their march into misinformation yesterday, Hillary continued to gather strength. In New Hampshire, Dr. Susan Lynch, spouse to the Governor, endorsed Hillary. In all likelihood the endorsement will help Hillary maintain her already substantial lead in New Hampshire.

Meanwhile Obama appeared on Nightline last night and kept up his weeks long slimy attacks on Hillary. Typical for Obama he began the Nightline interview with a lie.

   TERRY MORAN: So let's talk about experience, which you talk about a lot. You said recently that the strongest experience you have in foreign relations is that you grew up for four years as a child in Southeast Asia.

   SEN. BARACK OBAMA: Well, that's not exactly what I said. What I said was I think one of the things that sets me apart is that I spent time in other countries.

No, Barack, that is exactly what you said:

   "Probably the strongest experience I have in foreign relations is the fact that I spent four years living overseas when I was a child in southeast Asia."

Terry Moran could have easily quoted ABC News' own published reports to contradict Obama, but we suppose Terry does not read his own network's reports.

If Terry does not watch or read his own networks reports, he could have watched CNN which had this amusing comment from Senator Joe Biden when Obama's foolish statement first aired:

   Biden, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, also joined the fray Tuesday afternoon when asked what he thought of Obama's comments.

   "I think he's right," Biden said smiling. "That is his strongest [foreign policy] credential."

This is not the first time Obama has openly lied to Americans. Obama lied about "preconditions" and Obama lied about attacking Pakistan. TV reporter David Shuster essentially called Obama a liar on the Pakistan issue.

After his initial Nightline lie, Obama attacked Hillary's experience:

   MORAN: So you think her being first lady isn't all that, isn't as much as she's claiming?

   OBAMA: Well, look, I have no doubt that she is an intelligent, capable woman. There's no doubt that Bill Clinton had faith in her and consulted with her on issues, in the same way that I would consult with Michelle, if there were issues. On the other hand, I don't think Michelle would claim that she is the best qualified person to be a United States senator by virtue of me talking to her on occasion about the work that I've done.

   And I think that Senator Clinton certainly has experience that she should tout, and I don't think anybody would suggest that somehow she's not qualified to be president of the United States, in terms of the work that she's done in the United States Senate. I think she's done some good work. But I think that, you know, there is a tendency to overestimate some of the experience that is out there. In fact, our most successful presidents have been people who were successful not because of their wealth of Washington experience, but because of the life lessons and schools of hard knocks that they had gone through. And that's true whether you're talking about Lincoln, or FDR, or any of our greatest presidents.

Maybe Obama is just dense. Michelle after all works in a hospital while he works as a Senator whereas Hillary worked with Bill Clinton in the White House. Can anything be clearer? Either Obama is being deliberately obtuse or he is not very bright. As to this nonsense about Lincoln not being experienced Obama needs an American History lesson to clue him in on Lincoln - the founder of the Illinois Whig Party and the National Republican Party, and long term player in national politics particularly on abolition and tarriff issues. And the dynastic FDR was no slouch when it came to be a major player in national politics.

This morning the Los Angeles Times has published an article which addresses Hillary's experience.

   She always came prepared. From the first planning sessions for her husband's victorious 1992 presidential run through the final 1994 White House meetings she chaired as the Clinton administration's ill-fated healthcare initiative collapsed, Hillary Rodham Clinton was a force to be reckoned with as a decision-maker.

   Her debut on the national stage in the early 1990s was a defining era for Clinton, a period when she emerged as Bill Clinton's most influential campaign strategist and policy advisor. She was forceful and methodical in shaping the Clinton administration's domestic policies and political strategy, and proved to be a disciplined partner to her famously disorganized husband: commanding, opinionated, daunting.

   "Bill talked about social change, I embodied it," Clinton wrote in "Living History," her autobiography.

   Meetings were her milieu. She would arrive toting the crisp yellow legal pads she had carried habitually since her days as a corporate lawyer. Armed with an exhaustively researched grasp of the issues at hand, she would press for still more options while lacerating opposing arguments with surgical precision.

   Clinton's all-access pass into the West Wing gave her an intimate education in presidential decision-making that none of her opponents can claim. She observed at close range how big government works, and she learned painfully from her missteps how easily it bogs down.

The L.A. Times notes that there were difficulties in the White House years and that Hillary never had ultimate executive authority. But the difficulties then are pluses now:

   Presidential historian James McGregor Burns, who studied the uneasy dynamics of the Clinton White House, said that even her setbacks amounted to "educational failures" that toughened her for the long run.

   "She's been tested over and over again," Burns said. "The question for voters is whether they feel she passed those tests and whether they think she learned from them."

Hillary's history as an advisor in 1991's presidential election campaign was presaged by experience in the 1972 and 1976 McGovern and Carter presidential campaigns. Once in the White House Hillary was a major player:

   From the start, Clinton's campaign role was left as amorphous as possible, allowing her to carve out her own domain.

   "No one raised a question about how her role was defined," recalled lawyer Mickey Kantor, the campaign chairman. "It was assumed. You wanted her involved at the highest level."

   Involved she was, and in everything. She used her ties to New York legal circles to raise cash and tap political pros. While staffers took a breather on a bus caravan through Texas, old friend Bill Burton watched as "Hillary sat in the back and took charge of a press release on natural-gas policy." As she peppered her husband's aides with strategy, she was empire-building -- cherry-picking loyalists who would work at the core of her White House staff.

   Kantor and other campaign veterans credit her as the driving force behind the rapid-response "war room" operation. Later, she rode herd on the "defense team," a cloistered group of staffers and lawyers who fended off media queries about the couple's financial deals, rumors of Bill's infidelity and his youthful dealings with Arkansas draft officials during the Vietnam War.

   "She methodically set down the counter-strategy in a disciplined way," said Betsey Wright, who ran the unit from Little Rock, Ark.

Democrats who think the Ripublicans will sit back and sing Kumbaya after the next election have not been paying attention. Newt Gingrich deliberately set out in the 1990s to remove Democrats from power. Using tools such as "term limits", scandal mongering (which drove out the Democratic Speaker of the House) and other hardball tactics coordinated with allied media outlets and talk radio the Ripublicans took control of the government.

The full sum of the Hillary White House years, the good and the bad, will prove valuable when Hillary becomes the chief executive.

Obama can tout his child tourism all he wants. But for the office of the President, we need someone with adult experience.

There's more...

Oddsmakers Say Obama Campaign is Doomed!

One thing is clear above all other things, the pundits in the media village look at politics as sport and entertainment and more than anything, they love the excitement, glamor and ratings a close election offers.

And they'll do whatever it takes, to make elections more interesting for themselves.

From Campaign 2000, MSNBC with Brian Williams.

HOWARD FINEMAN (9/21/00): I don't think the media was going to allow, just by its nature, the next seven weeks, the last seven or eight weeks of the campaign, to be all about Al Gore's relentless, triumphant march to the presidency. We want a race, I suppose. If we have a bias of any kind, it's that we like to see a contest and we like to see it down to the end if we can.

It's Deja Vu...all over again...

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It would seem from what the pundit crowd have been saying recently that the 2008 presidential race has tightened so much that it now is a real "horserace". That now the chances of Hillary getting the Democratic nomination and her winning the White House are getting slimmer and slimmer.

But thats not how clear-eyed professional oddsmakers at the Briish gambling houses see it.

To them, Hillary Clinton remains the big favorite.

From the website Gambling Nine One One.
Odds on winning the White House:

Hillary Clinton Holds Firm With Oddsmakers


November 25, 2007


2008 US Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has held firm with online oddsmakers while holding off the likes of Barack Obama.  The best odds on Hillary at press time November 25, 2007 could be found at BodogLife where she was surprisingly still an even favorite compared to the peak 1/3 odds found elsewhere.

Rudy Giuliani had the next shortest odds at Bodog: 9/4.

Republican candidate Ron Paul continued to get little respect from the oddsmakers at Bodog nor the gamblers where he remained a firm 14/1 long shot to win.  Mike Huckabee, who's been mentioned as the dark horse surprise in recent days among Republicans, continues to sit pretty at long 35/1 odds.

Like with most online bookmakers, Mitt Romney sits at third or worse.  Compared to Fred Thompson at 6/1 odds, Romney was listed with 8/1 odds.  John McCain was just behind Ron Paul at 16/1 odds.

Barack Obama continued to be a long shot when compared to Clinton's favorite status.  At BodogLife he was listed with odds of 5/1 and this was fairly consistent among the various online gambling websites.

Romney is tending to dip down to 8/1 odds of becoming the next US President across the board.  Romney and Obama are both listed with 6/1 odds at British bookmaker William Hill.

John Edwards has the better odds.  He tends to be listed anywhere between 15/1 and 20/1 odds depending on where you look.

_____

Lets translate that for you -

Depending on the betting house, the oddsmakers say that its:

between 6 to 18 times more likely that Hillary will become President than Obama.

between 15 to 60 times more likely that Hillary becomes President than John Edwards.

Please remember, the lower numbers produced above came because one online gambling site had what the analyst in the piece called "surprisingly" set the odds for Hillary to win the White House to be  ONLY even money.

----------------

Oh well, but thats not the narrative that the political pundit class is spreading in these last weeks before the Primaries begin. They keep writing that Hillary is Falling and that her chances to win the White House are dropping.

Why? How?

The "how" first.

They have carefully selected which polls to push that will drive their storyline and help create the "horserace" atmosphere that they desire.

Now, to the "why".

The political pundits who live in the "village" don't like Hillary too much.  So they push and promote her closest rival.
What a shock...

Just like in 2000, they didnt care for Al Gore and created a "narrative" that he was a fake and a "liar" and so, created another "script" that George Bush was a fine fellow to "have a beer with" and a real sincere - though maybe not so ambitious - kind of guy....

These fools don't cover "the news", they push an agenda.  

Sometimes, its following the wishes of their corporate masters....but, oftimes, its just as shallow as their desire to see a close and more exciting race.   If there isnt one, they will work to create one.  

Lets look to the 'incomparable Daily Howler and see how this was done in 2000.

In September 2000, Gore was pulling away in the polls; the experts said the campaign was over. And then, out of nowhere, the press corps struck twice! First, that idiot doggy-pill tale. Then, the union lullaby scandal--sadly, an obvious joke

As Alter noted, Gore's progress in the polls was reversed. A few weeks later, the nonsense which followed that first debate pretty much finished things off.

So why in the world did the national press corps push those idiot tales in September? On September 21, 2000, Howard Fineman answered that question for Brian Williams, Jack Welch's "Lost Boy." Given the history that has unfolded, this was one of the most remarkable statements any journalist ever made on any TV program.

Why did the national press pretend that Gore had lied about that lullaby? Why did they pretend that he had lied about those doggy-pills? Here's what Fineman told Williams that night. This is truly a tale for the ages:

   FINEMAN (9/21/00): I don't think the media was going to allow, just by its nature, the next seven weeks, the last seven or eight weeks of the campaign, to be all about Al Gore's relentless, triumphant march to the presidency. We want a race, I suppose. If we have a bias of any kind, it's that we like to see a contest and we like to see it down to the end if we can.

Look! Fineman showed BOTH the HOW and the WHY!!

There it is folks!  Wonder why the pundits and the oddsmakers disagree about what is happening in the primary race?

The fools in the village are BORED with the idea of Hillary cruising thru the primaries and want to make it more INTERESTING....for THEMSELVES!

No matters that this kind of clowning from this spoiled and very stupid crew is precisely how we ended up with a dunce in the White House and our armies fighting TWO wars in the Middle East.

I have written before that Obama lost me when he joined with Russert in the debate in Philadlphia and pretended that the demands for release of the White House archives was anything but a ploy by the media and the GOP to embarrass the Clintons and hurt Democrats chances for 2008.  

Since then, team Obama have shown over and over that they are in league with and are working in concert with - their "great pals' at MSNBC and the rest of what Mark Halperin calls the "Gang of 500".

Fine....you guys in Camp Obama do that....

Enjoy your repeated visits with Tweetie and his lapdog Fineman on Hardball... Chuckle with an "insiders" cynicism with the WPs Anne Kornblut and the NYT's Katherine Seelye...Cheer when the woman who attacked Gore viscously in 2000, your sweetie Mo Dowd, does the same to Hillary this time...

But I suggest you put YOUR money down on the table and bet.

I have.

THIS ISN'T 2000.

Ill take the clear eyed wisdom of a bookie ANYDAY over the "ideas" and opinions that come from that perfumed set of total idiots and jackals who comprise the Washington political press corps.

There's more...

Obama: Schiavo, McClurkin, Rezko and "Judgment"

During a 1999 debate of Republican presidential contenders, George W. Bush famously cited Jesus when he and other candidates were asked to identify the "political philosopher or thinker" who had most influenced them. Last week, Democratic White House contender Barack Obama broached Christ in answering a different question, picking him as one of three historical figures with whom he would like to have dinner....

Hmmmm....

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Obama repeatedly says that even though he may not have the "experience" of others in he race, his "judgment" is better than any other candidate's and thats why he should be elected to the Presidency.

In a recent speech, "The nice thing about my candidacy is I don't have to apologize for a lot of mistakes," said Obama.

Hmmmm...

Senator Barack Obama supported Tom Delay's and Bill Frist's demands for congressional intervention to allow federal court review by the parents of Terri Schiavo, the Florida woman who was in a vegetative state. At the time, Rush Limbaugh insinuated that spiteful liberals "want Terri Schiavo to die just because Christian conservatives want her to live."

Michael Schiavo contended that, since Terri now could not and because she had previously stated to him that she did not want to be kept alive artificially, he had the right to determine what was best for his wife. The court agreed. Michael Schiavo requested that Terri's feeding tube be removed allowing her, according to medical testimony, a painless death. Terri's parents wanted her to be kept alive.
The Bush Administration, Congressional Republican heavyweights, and Barack Obama backed the parents.  This was one of the biggest and moss controversial issues in  recent years, with the legislature and the governor of Florida getting involved, with the Supreme Court getting in on the action, with Bush flying back to DC in the middle of the night from Texas. This was a case where the entire (Republican) political establishment intruded into a personal, private family matter that was proceeding according to established law. It was wholly unprecedented.

Defending what seems to be a decision quite inconsistent with his stated progressive philosophy, Barack Obama told the Rick Pearson of the Chicago Tribune March 27, 2005): "There's nothing unconstitutional about having a little more due process than was due. Do I like the fact that Congress acts in rash fashion as opposed to deliberative fashion on this or any number of situations but fails to act on crises like the Medicare situation? No. But I have been there for only 3 1/2 months. What troubled me at the margins was not sufficient to raise an objection and shut down the Senate."

Why didn't "the margins" trouble Barack Obama? Why did he vote to allow intervention in this case?

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Peggy Noonan, in the WSJ, denounced the "pull-the-plug people ... half in love with death, red-fanged and ravenous," whom she identifies as Democrats.

The Republicans and their voices in the media said that the Schiavo dispute represented a struggle between the "culture of life" and the "culture of death." On the righteous side of life, according to Ms. Noonan, is anyone who believes in God and who therefore realizes that "each human life is precious, of infinite value, worthy of great respect.

Does any Democrat not understand what the GOP leadership intended by this shameful action or what Rush and Noonan meant by these divisive words?

Obama's "judgment" told him to back and agree with these sentiments  and to support the republicans efforts to intervene in the Schiavo case and  to agree with Tom Delay and use the Congress, in a way never done before ever, to overrule the private desires of this poor woman and this poor woman's husband..

"Judgment"?  Hmmmm...

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