Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton 35%, Obama 21%, Gore 18%, Edwards 9%
by georgep, Wed Jun 13, 2007 at 07:16:59 AM EDT
June 13, 2007 - Top Dems Catch Giuliani In '08 Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Thompson Ties Mccain Among Republicans
Clinton leads among Democrats with 35 percent, followed by Obama with 21 percent, Gore with 18 percent and 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards with 9 percent.
Biden 2% 3% 1%
Clark - 1 -
Clinton 32 20 43
Dodd 1 1 -
Edwards 12 14 9
Gore 14 15 14
Gravel - - -
Kucinich 2 4 -
Obama 18 19 18
Richardson 3 5 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - -
DK/NA 15 17 14
Biden 2 1
Clark - 2
Clinton 32 38
Dodd 1 -
Edwards 12 6
Gore 14 11
Gravel - na
Kucinich 2 1
Obama 18 23
Richardson 3 2
Vilsack na -
SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1
DK/NA 15 13
Head to head matchups between Democratic and Republican contenders
First, a caveat. Edwards is not included in this head-to-head survey. We have seen this with every other national poll, which have basically stopped testing Edwards' head-to-head numbers. The reason seems simple. His polls have gone way down and the pollsters probably don't find that his overall poll numbers warrant a head-to-head survey. Apparently, the thinking is that Edwards may be about to fall out of the top-tier and has other things to worry about than how he matches up against Giuliani, McCain, etc.
The top three Democratic presidential contenders all have caught up with former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican leader: New York Sen. Hillary Clinton gets 45 percent to Giuliani's 44 percent; Illinois Sen. Barack Obama ties Giuliani 42 - 42 percent and former Vice President Al Gore gets 45 percent to Giuliani's 43 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.
Giuliani, leading in national and statewide polls by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University for several months, had a 49 - 40 percent lead over Clinton in a May 3 national poll, where he also topped Gore 48 - 41 percent and Obama 44 - 41 percent.
In other presidential matchups:
Clinton gets 44 percent to McCain's 42 percent, while Obama edges McCain 43 - 41 percent and Gore tops McCain 44 - 41 percent.
Clinton tops Thompson 46 - 39 percent, as Obama beats Thompson 46 - 34 percent and Gore beats Thompson 49 - 37 percent.
American voters give Giuliani a 51 - 27 percent favorability rating. Favorability ratings for other contenders are:
47 - 45 percent for Clinton;
50 - 40 percent for Gore;
45 - 28 percent for McCain;
48 - 21 percent for Obama;
41 - 28 percent for Edwards;
For Thompson, 57 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion;
For Romney, 60 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion.
"It's still early, but Sen. Hillary Clinton just keeps rolling along. Either something - like Iowa - will dislodge her or else she's the nominee. Should we start asking about vice-presidents?
"If someone slips, the non-candidates, or not-yet candidates - Sen. Fred Thompson for the Republicans, Vice President Gore for the Democrats - are hanging in there."
Clinton just keeps rolling along... :-)
The polls are pretty stable, except that Edwards is showing once again very badly in yet another national poll. The 9% he gets here continues a string of very bad national polls for him over the last 2 weeks.
As for electability, the findings here are that there is no difference between Clinton and Obama when it comes to matching up against GOP contenders. All Democrats have caught up with Giuliani and McCain in this survey, which is great news for us all.
Clinton has turned around her previous negative numbers into a positive showing, a turnaround of 5% in favorables/unfavorables numbers over the last survey. The debates seem to be helping her chip away at some of the negatives (most undeserved) she started with. She still has more work to do when it comes to keeping an eye on the general election, but she already is beating Giuliani as it is, and his positives are the highest of all candidates at this point.
The Republican contenders
In a Republican primary, Giuliani leads with 27 percent, unchanged from May 3. Former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson who has 15 percent, followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain, down from 19 percent to 15 percent. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney gets 10 percent.
American voters disapprove 65 - 28 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest score ever in a Quinnipiac University national poll.
"It will be interesting to see how low President Bush's numbers can drop," Carroll said.
From June 5 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,711 American voters with a margin of error of +- 2.4 percent, including 663 Republicans with a margin of error of +- 3.8 percent, and 789 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.