I had listed New Mexico as number 10 I think on the full rankings I link to in the blog entry.
I said basically that if Domenici retires NM will become a top pick-up opportunity. If he runs again, which is most likely, he could be very vulnerable... but Democrats have not recruited a strong candidate as of yet.
The consequences of the Michigan leaps will likely also be very dramatic on the Republican side, where they will dramatically improve Romney's chances.
Before Michigan changed its primary date, it just was not evident how Romney could possibly build on Iowa and New Hampshire victories with South Carolina and Florida looking soon after. But Michigan's leap to January 15th radically changes the dynamic on the Republican side, damaging Giuiliani's hopes to easely recover from power showings in Iowa and New Hampshire, and offering Romney an obvious path to the nomination.
There was a column by Rothenberg yesterday that explained how in internal D polls the big number to watch at is the number of undecideds: they aren't pushed at all to choose, and in conservative districts such as IN-8, most of them would lean towards the Republican. So internal polls under-estimate the percentage of the Republican candidate... and seeing this poll, that analysis is confirmed: 47-31. about 25% undecided, and the incumbent at a ridiculously low number.
Though the Democrat being as high as 47 is a very good sign.