by feliks, Fri May 09, 2008 at 07:21:31 AM EDT
Does this mean it's over?? Rasmussen seems to think so. When one candidate has won, what's the point of continuing daily tracking polls????
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Friday, May 09, 2008
Rasmussen Reports has been tracking the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination daily for nineteen months... since November 2006. For the last few months, the most remarkable feature of the race has been its consistency and stability. Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are both running historic campaigns and both have captured the votes and hearts of distinct and important constituencies within the Democratic Party. Obama has won Primaries in states where the demographics favor his campaign and Clinton has won in the states that favor her campaign.
However, while Senator Clinton has remained close and competitive in every meaningful measure, she is a close second and the race is over. It has become clear that Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee.
At the moment, Senator Clinton's team is busily trying to convince Superdelegates and pundits that she is more electable than Barack Obama. For reasons discussed in a separate article, it doesn't matter. Even if every single Superdelegate was convinced that the former First Lady is somewhat more electable than Obama, that is not enough of a reason to deny him the nomination.
With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama. Barring something totally unforeseen, that is the choice American voters will have before them in November. While we have not firmly decided upon a final day for tracking the Democratic race, it is coming soon.
by feliks, Thu May 08, 2008 at 04:32:52 AM EDT
Where do we go from here? My understanding is that probably today, but certainly within 48 hours, about 30 super-delegates will endorse Mr Obama. That should give him further momentum.
John Zogby: 'there is no chance' Clinton can win
Mathematically, this will widen the gap between him and Mrs Clinton. He has a bigger share of the popular vote, more pledged delegates, and will now overtake her in terms of super-delegates too.
This is quite a development if it's true. Any thoughts? Is it just a rumor?
by feliks, Mon May 05, 2008 at 06:45:59 AM EDT
"FRESNO -- Hillary Rodham Clinton, stung last week by the defection of a prominent superdelegate, could lose the backing of more of these Democratic Party leaders and elected officials if she fails to make significant gains in the remaining month of presidential nominating contests, several California superdelegates said this weekend.
Two of the five superdelegates aligned with Clinton who spoke at the annual California Democratic Convention here said they would reconsider their support if rival Barack Obama maintained his lead in elected delegates and the popular vote after the last contests on June 3."
by feliks, Mon May 05, 2008 at 06:41:19 AM EDT
<FRESNO -- Hillary Rodham Clinton, stung last week by the defection of a prominent superdelegate, could lose the backing of more of these Democratic Party leaders and elected officials if she fails to make significant gains in the remaining month of presidential nominating contests, several California superdelegates said this weekend.
Two of the five superdelegates aligned with Clinton who spoke at the annual California Democratic Convention here said they would reconsider their support if rival Barack Obama maintained his lead in elected delegates and the popular vote after the last contests on June 3.>
Well seeing there is basically no way this Primary season will end with Senator Clinton leading in the elected delegates. It seems that Senator Obama will poach at least 2 of Senator Clinton's SD's from California.
by feliks, Fri May 02, 2008 at 07:24:41 AM EDT
SurveyUSA. 4/28-5/1. Likely voters. MoE 3.9% (4/4-6 results)
Obama 50 (52)
Clinton 44 (44)
Obama is REPEATEDLY asked what can he do to win the White working class voter. So, why isn't HILLARY EVER asked what can she do to win the AA vote???Don't they count?
by feliks, Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 08:47:19 AM EDT
Rep. Lois Capps, who represents a district on California's central coast, is the third member of Congress to announce an endorsement of Senator Obama Wednesday, the day after he responded sharply to one of the deepest crises of his campaign, a confrontational and, he said, "appalling" set of remarks by his former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright. The campaign is using the flurry of endorsements to shore up political support and demonstrate the frontrunner's continuing strength.
"Barack Obama is the better choice because of something larger and perhaps more important. Simply put, he has made a call to the better angels of our nature. He is challenging us to lift ourselves out of the ugliness that increasingly consumes Washington, where the heat of your argument counts for more than the light it should bring," Capps said in a statement. "He is asking us to stand together as Americans and transcend the traditional lines that have so often divided us by party affiliation, economic status, gender, or race."
that's drip drip drip for today
by feliks, Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 05:49:16 AM EDT
Associated Press - April 30, 2008 8:54 AM ET
DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) - An aide to U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley, D-Iowa, says he will announce his endorsement of Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama on Wednesday.
Braley spokesman Jeff Giertz says Braley will endorse the Illinois senator during an afternoon conference call.
Braley was an early and ardent backer of John Edwards, but had remained uncommitted since Edwards dropped out of the race at the end of January.
Braley is a superdelegate and his endorsement will further add to Obama's fragile lead in delegates in the race against Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Giertz says Braley made his decision after seeing the overwhelming support for Obama in district conventions last weekend in his 1st District in eastern Iowa.
This is good news for Barack Obama, and George Stephanopoulous of ABCNews fame, mentioned that the Obama campaign would be releasing more superdelegates later today.
Notice he said superdelegateS. How many??
drip, drip, drip
by feliks, Tue Apr 29, 2008 at 08:42:08 AM EDT
Winthrop farmer Richard Machacek, an Iowa superdelegate, said today he is pledging to support Illinois Sen. Barack Obama.
Machacek, a member of the Democratic National Committee, had been uncommitted.
I'm curious what Clinton supporters think. It's been obvious since Super Tuesday that the movement of the SD's has been to Obama. SD's continue to endorse Barack Obama despite, Rev Wright,flag pingate, bitter etc. Are they all wrong? Have they been bamboozled?
by feliks, Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 06:09:53 AM EDT
PHOENIX, AZ -- Today newly elected Arizona Democratic Party First Vice Chairwoman and Superdelegate Charlene Fernandez endorsed Senator Barack Obama for president.
"Senator Barack Obama is strengthening the Democratic Party by bringing in new voters, young and old, into the process. I believe Senator Obama has the best ability to win the White House in November and lead this country forward."
Fernandez, who was elected as first vice chairwoman of the Arizona Democratic Party today, is Senator Obama's 241st Superdelegate endorsement. Senator Obama is now 290 delegates away from winning the Democratic Party's presidential nomination.
Drip, drip, drip......
by feliks, Sat Apr 26, 2008 at 05:43:41 AM EDT
But I don't think this is what Senator Clinton had in mind:
More than 70 top Clinton donors wrote their first checks to Obama in March, campaign records show. Clinton's lead among superdelegates, a collection of almost 800 party leaders and elected officials, has slipped from 106 in December to 23 now, according to an Associated Press tally.