Response to "60-seats possible"
by fakes seizures, Mon Aug 06, 2007 at 07:27:20 AM EDT
I think these seats are really possible:
Wyoming (special election) AND regular
That is 12. People forgot both seats in WY are up in 2008. Add in these new fights:
Nebraska (if Hagel retires)
If the right people run in these states these are too:
Georgia (Chambliss is at 50 approval)
Kansas (approval 52)
That totals 19 possible races out of 22. Subtract only losing LA, considering Iowa is trending blue (first control of house and senate in I think about 15 years) and you cannot really attack a guy who is recovering from brain surgery (if he runs).
And remember Republicans usually dump money into the presidential race and are being out raised 2-1 in both houses. I think this could be an electoral shift on the scale of 1932 or 1980 (since 1958 was an off year) if we get a movement building presidential candidate (Obama or Edwards)
Finally the increase in young voter turnout, and call me crazy I think that a plus-12 in the senate and and 50-60 in the house are possible, given the right conditions--which are shaping up (we are now trusted more on just about everything and evangelicals have taken up enviroment and poverty as moral issues)