Poll Warning: Bush is climbing steadily

I (wearing my Pollkatz hat) just want to point out that Bush has been
climbing in the polls, steadily, since he bottomed out in May.  Before you say "gasoline prices," wait a minute.

Yes, Bush's approval tanked as gas prices rose (pun sort of intended) in the winter and spring, but gas prices topped out in April, and only in August did they start to fall appreciably.  But Bush has been trending up since May.

What's really ominous is that this is only the second time in Bush's reign where he's enjoyed a steady rise in approval in the absence of a crisis (9/11, going to war, capture of Saddam).  The other time began in the summer of 2004, and peaked just in time for the election.  Bush is about 12-15 points lower now than then, but the trend line looks eerily the same.

What this bodes for the fall elections, I don't know.

Tags: Approval, Bush, gallup, Gasoline, Oil, poll, pollkatz, popular (all tags)

Comments

3 Comments

No, he isn't
According to Politial Arthmetik. That is a flat, flat line.
by Chris Bowers 2006-09-06 10:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Poll Warning: Bush is climbing steadily

I wouldn't call it steadily climbing as much as we weren't fortunate enough to catch the election at the exact time of Bush's low point. Those numbers in the low 30s were incredibly weak based on what the natural support should be, for either side.

I predicted on other sites and perhaps here that his approval would be 45% on election day and I hope I'm wrong, but based on a natural uptick and that gas prices figure to go down steadily for the next two months, I think I will be close. We need an outside event to knock him down again. Mostly, we needed to prioritize our favorable numbers and not waste time and cash worrying about Bush's ratings, which we have absolutely no control over, no matter how much we thrill to pretend otherwise.

Too damn bad our candidates and party leaders don't frame the debate and issues 10% as well as Olbermann does.

by jagakid 2006-09-06 04:39PM | 0 recs
Re: Poll Warning: Bush is climbing steadily

It doesn't help that the CBS Katie Couric Show, formerly known as the CBS Evening News, is now giving Bush a free pass and is ignoring Iraq.  They had NO international stories on CBS news tonight - not one.  WTF?

by Bear83 2006-09-06 06:46PM | 0 recs

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