1) I think this is why the whole Obama is DLC or Lieberman-lite is dead wrong. Obama is not bipartisan or a traingulator, he's post=partisan. He wants to bring the country together by getting rid of the cynicism that we can't accomplish anything. If that can be accomplished, than we can move toward solving our big problems like Iraq, health care, energy, the environment.
2) this post jives with Obama's statements like "the smallness of our politics," the fact he sees himself as somewhat of a stand-in for people who don't know much about him, his Knox college speech which discussed the New Deal, etc.
it that Bush needs to hold a rally today in Ohio? Can only be goods news, no? Shouldn't his supporters go to the polls rather than listen to him stump?
And yes, Kerry is in Wisc. But (1) this makes sense since they have same day registration unlike Ohio and (2) it indicates to me that Kerry thinks he has either FL or OH (or both) and just needs to carry Wisc.
The WP notes the Reps. are excited b/c they hold a 2-1 advantage in early voting in Jacksonville. Truth? Anyone have any inside info? Bush won the area by 40k in 2000 but nearly 27000 votes were thrown out in heavily African American precincts.
The Columbus Dispatch poll is 50-50 in Ohio but the article goes on to say:
"After nearly 80 candidate visits to Ohio, untold millions spent in ads, 500 more Americans killed in Iraq and 13,300 additional jobs lost in the state, the presidential race is back to where it was seven months ago.
President Bush and Sen. John Kerry are tied at just less than 50 percent in a new Dispatch Poll.
How close is this matchup? Kerry leads by a mere eight votes out of 2,880 ballots returned in the mail survey -- the tightest margin ever in a final Dispatch Poll.
A similar survey in late March shortly after Kerry clinched the Democratic nomination put Bush ahead by 34 responses.
However, in the past four weeks Kerry has surged from a 7 percentage-point deficit into a tie with Bush. And several signs indicate the Massachusetts senator has gained the momentum in Ohio.
Kerry is ahead by 14 points among independent voters. He has a narrow lead in northwestern Ohio, the state's most reliable bellwether media market. And he has brought black voters home, gaining 91 percent support among black respondents.
Meanwhile, the poll contains troubling signs for Bush. Only 44 percent say things in the nation are headed in the right direction. Fewer than half approve of his handling of Iraq and the economy. And his overall approval rating is 49 percent, a measure that many political experts say represents a ceiling on his support Tuesday.
But this election is so close in Ohio that the winner will be determined by which side gets its voters to the polls Tuesday, and by how the public perceives such late-breaking developments as the newly released video of Osama bin Laden. Perhaps the biggest question -- aside from the effect of possible Election Day challenges at polling places -- is how many of Ohio's 1 million newly registered voters will cast ballots.
These newbies now represent one in eight Ohio voters, and they support Kerry by nearly a 2-1 margin in the poll."
Good news. I honestly believe we have Florida based on talking to people there. If Kerry takes Ohio its over, since other reliable polls in the upper Midwest show Kerry winning (he might lose Iowa).
B/c of few visits to MN I sense that Bush could take this state. Gore barely won it in 2000, and Minn sent a Rep. over Mondale/Wellstone in 02. I think Kerry should shore it up, no? He seems to be safe in MI, and after vivits to Madison and Milwaukee I think he has Wisc. Insight?