• on a comment on The Coming Palin Backlash over 5 years ago

    These were interviews, not blog messages on CNN.  Like, a reporter talking to people.  I doubt CNN went to MoveOn and gathered a crowd of staffers.

  • on a comment on I have just one question over 5 years ago

    This is in conjunction with the convention.

  • on a comment on McCain VP rollout & last day over 5 years ago

    Anyone who trades there might make some easy money on Pawlenty - even if he's picked u won't lose much.

  • on a comment on McCain VP rollout & last day over 5 years ago

    Romney is FAR from out of the running, regardless of what Jerome says - methinks.

  • on a comment on McCain VP rollout & last day over 5 years ago

    KBH is pro-choice

  • on a comment on McCain VP rollout & last day over 5 years ago

    Although her record is conservative, she's wrong on the one plank so important to the GOP - she's pro-choice.

  • National tracking polls have got to be the most worthless things on the face of the earth.  They tell you almost nothing, especially when the race is within less than 7 points.

    You have to crunch state by state, and then only with multiple polls to set trendlines.

  • comment on a post PA, OH, FL: O +7, +1, -4 (Quinn Poll) over 5 years ago

    I feel pretty good about these polls.  Of course, I'd like all of them to be better, but they were taken during the BY FAR worst period of Obama's summer campaign.  If that was the outcome during that period, it shows good base strength and room to grow as long as we campaign hard and stay on the offensive.

    What speaks volumes to me is the ground organization that can't be polled.  Kerry's was pitiful and Bush had a sound operation.  Now the tables seem to have turned - mass organization on the Obama side and a McCain machine that seems like an underfunded Bush operation without the reach or goodwill.  Case in point...

    McCain has 9 Ohio offices; Obama has 56 Ohio offices!

    McCain has a handful of Pennsylvania offices; Obama has 29 offices!

    Even in Florida where McCain has 39 offices and a tremendous amount of demographic strength and appeal - Obama still has 36 offices.

    That's not counting the enormous number in places like Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado and even North Dakota - where the McCain presence is marginal.

  • on a comment on We just picked up 20%!!! over 9 years ago
    Very much so.
  • This is the most f'd up polling group of all time.
  • comment on a post Redskins Lose - Kerry Wins? over 9 years ago
    We can still lose this

    This just adds another well-proven omen into out column.  But it all comes down to the vote.

    GOTV!

  • on a comment on GMAB Newsweek over 9 years ago
    That's funny!  Good idea, and it seems to be good to go from my end.  While your at it, should Hawaii be put in the undecided column for the hell of it (at least until a poll with some sense pops up)?
  • comment on a post GMAB Newsweek over 9 years ago
    Have Illinois as Republican?  Or Ohio and Michigan for that matter?
  • If at all possible, the networks will declare a winner on election night.  It just won't happen as soon as it used to, as they will use actual returns rather than exit polling.  

    I find it exceptionally aggravating that everyone assumes the vote won't be clear, one way or another, on election night.  Just because 2000 was that way does not mean that every election from here on out will be like that.  The polls may be very close, but  this is not the first time they have been, and the national polls only mean so much.  Look at the margins in places like WI and IA last election.  No trouble calling those.  I want to be prepared for funny stuff, but not assuming that the election is aleady tainted so it doesn't matter what happens on election night.  

    The Repugs want to win as well, but you can bet most want a clear win on election night.  We are also more prepared for schemes than last time, and had thousands of Florida votes not "disappeared" we would have won CLEARLY.  Protect the vote, and we will not have to wait for months.  Remember, if the media calls Kerry or Bush on the night, that individual will have an edge in any ensuing court battles.

    However, I have a small but hopeful feeling that 2000 is not going to repeat itself, and we may just be surprised how smoothly this one goes of with both sides watching each other like hawks.

    That doesn't mean don't be prepared.  Keep both eyes open and GOTV!

  • comment on a post Dueling Strategies over 9 years ago
    In the Detroit area like MAD, and keep up the pressure in the rest of the state, and it will fall our way.  Maybe Michael Moore in Flint on Election Day???

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