The non-nuclear option
by DemUnity, Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 10:38:59 AM EDT
Because I am a Democrat, and because that's the only thing left that just about everyone on this site has in common, we should consider what last night's events, and those of the past three months have told us.
Neither Obama or Clinton has a large enough base to have a reasonable chance to win this thing by themselves.
Both poll at about 45-50 percent nationally, with little meaningful variation. Both sides have significant amounts of supporters who are independents/conservative Democrats/overzealous youth/African-Americans/strong-minded women who could sit out or vote for McCain if either wins by superdelegate, which we all admit has to happen for someone to reach the magic number. Both sides are just prideful enough to hurt our chances come November.
So why take the chance in November. With the two of them at the top of the ticket, we can bury these guys and get 400 EV's. It's not wishful thinking, its demographics.
Do you really think women or AA'S will not vote if both are on the ticket, in whatever order? Whoever takes VP is one step below the presidency.
How do we do it? Don't change a thing. Keep running for President. Whoever is second at the convention gets the 2nd spot. At this point, that could be either one.
But if any Obama supporters or Hillary supporters are under the illusion that the other's advocates will sit by and watch their dreams taken by superdelegates and still show up in November in adequate enough numbers, they're dreaming.
That's where we are. This has gone on so long that the two camps have become entrenched. Neither wants to give up, and both have compelling cases. They need, however, to stop tearing each other apart. Politics ain't beanbag, but it also isn't supposed to be a mutually assured destruction of our hopes in November.
Keep running, both of you great candidates, but don't forget that November is what matters, no matter who you want to win the nomination.
And for those of you who think that your side will win the nomination and all will be healed, you haven't studied history, have you? 1968, 1976, 1980.
Consider this before you summarily dismiss it, because we all see where this is heading. He has a lead, but she can chip away and make it damn close by the end. Then what? We call it a tie? The superdelegates haven't shown a whole lot of decisiveness so far, have they? They're almost even in super d's.
And forget the brokered convention. You think these people picked delegates so they could change their minds. Neither side took that chance when sending these people to Denver.
Think about it. And answer the poll question.