Virginia: Obama won
Missouri: Obama won
Montana: Obama favored
Ohio: Hillary won
2008 top red state races:
Alaska: Obama won
Mississippi: Obama won
Louisiana: Obama won
Virginia: Obama won
New Mexico: Hillary barely won
Colorado: Obama won
North Carolina: Obama won
Nebraska: Obama won - will probably seriously contest 1-2 CD in 2008
Look. Just because no one has discussed Hillary's unelectability for a while (since frankly, it's irrelevant) doesn't mean that she's not one of the most hated national figures in a generation (Bush, Gingrich, Nixon, Cheney, then Hillary).
She's horribly unelectable. She can't connect with voters on the emotional level (like Bill), so she's basically Al Gore/John Kerry part 3.
The party of 1992 lost about 12 senate seats and 100 house seats.
The party of 1996 let his personal problems destroy the Democratic brand.
The party of 2000 lost an easy election against a moron.
The party of 2004 lost again, but out of the ashes of that loss was born a new movement that took back Congress in 2006 and now will help Obama win in 2008 with new tactics, not the fossilized DLC rhetoric (which I supported in the 1990s, by the way, when it was appropriate).
The DLC was all about playing defense during a time of Conservative power. Now we're on offense. Go back to the 90s.
great post. As an Obama supporter, I find some of my own kind a bit embarassing too (witness the lady who yelled at BC yesterday - she said that Hillary had never tried to pass healthcare in 1993 - she made Obama supporters look like morons).
The NAFTA issue isn't terribly salient given that all parties involved deny that it ever happened. That's not to say people won't try to use it...but for a policy issue like this to be salient, it needs to be extremely credible.
McCain will take an extreme pro-trade position anyway...you need to take a look at his position statements.
RE: Florida - Hillary Clinton has pissed off the people of Florida by promising them what would never happen. If Obama loses Florida, history will not look kindly upon her disingenuous stunts over the last 3 months in Florida.
Assuming about a 6-8 point national Obama win (that's the over-under, if we're talking vegas here):
Florida will be tougher than most years (mainly because of older Jewish voters' unease with Obama, the Florida Democratic Party's decline, and older swing voter's tendency towards McCain), but I still see Obama winning a squeaker.
Ohio and PA won't even be close. 10+ in PA for Obama, probably 6-8 in Ohio (the GOP is in disarray in Ohio).