Well judging from the overall mood of progressives this morning, I would put the chance of picking up the house at 30%. I'm much of it will shake off over the coming days and weeks but it seems torture has taken it's toll. The only hope to re-energize the base is an all out fight in the closing days of the Senate. Reid must ensure the GOP puts the torture and Specter bills under one "Act" then filibuster both. But what the fuck do I know, I thought torture was a bad thing. Turns out that I was wrong once again.
Every response from Webb, so far, seems to hard hitting and on message. This might not be as a bad an ad as you think if the next run comes around. I believe that the first ad blurring the distinction FOR republican voters is a smart move. It's there on video, Ronald Reagan giving lavish praise upon Webb. With Nancy Reagan getting involved it just means a wider audience. In one commercial Webb's team defined his character to Independents and Republicans using the GOD of GOP. The smart move from here on out is one of distinction, with branding coming to the front.
"This is why I get so angry with "moderate/centrist" Dems. There is no loyalty to party - only country. Liberals are "THE" values voters..."
This is simply not true. I am a "radical" moderate dem who is not only progressive but extremely loyal to the party. I truly believe that most "moderate democrats" have been radicalized by the current state of affairs. Perhaps you meant to articulate; "moderate/centrist dems within the party power structure". Do not forget that most loyal democrat foot soldiers are values voters regardless of the spectrum.
I agree with everything you posted with the exception of your premise of; "I think the vast majority of DEmocratic parety insiders agree with us on the issues, etc. and wouldn't mind progressives gaining more power at all."
While there may be a few who not mind progressives gaining power, most would fear any outside group gaining power. The vested interest is the status quo. Power currently is very very lucrative. It comes down to (for all to many in power) the human condition of immediate individual satisfaction and protecting that status. This is real problem with our current political alignment; power is an exclusive and monetarily rewarding club.
I agree, there is much to be hopeful for, and the tone of my response was not meant to discount his observation of hope. My real fear is we might be outmaneuvered by the "lifers" and many may not realize this. The "they fear us" meme being espoused by many progressives is hubris; the operative should be "they now know us" and we should prepare and act accordingly.
"Being attacked like this is a sure sign of progress, something almost to be welcomed and most definitely a proof that the struggle has reached a certain stage (the stage of scaring the shit out of these bums)."
I would agree with you if this was the early nineties. However, with global warming, peak oil, extreme wealth of power, unstable traditional states, nuclear biological chemical proliferation, and on, WE HAVE LITTLE OR NO TIME LEFT TO TURN THE COLLOSOUS AROUND. I believe it may be now (next five years) or never time.
I think the initial "freak out" has already occurred.
The new tangent is to "pinch the head" of new participatory movement. If Lamont looses the general, the response will be; "even with our help, these whacks lost, a still birth if you will. Now let the adults get back running the party".
Time for the "five year plan" of retaking the party.
I've been (still am) a huge Lamont supporter through act blue and still do not see a clear path for us. Is it possible that Joe and his back channel supporters are trying to triangulate against us and re-enforcing the Democratic meme (scary liberals) to ensure a status quo of incumbency? Goddamit I'm f*cking one pissed off "radical moderate" that is trying but losing patience with my party's power structure.
If this is the case (I believe it is) what is to be done? Our chances of recapturing either body is dissipating day by day with weak messaging and no punches to the GOP face. The soft middle third is looking for a message with punch, not issues or blending. So again, what is going on here?
You wrote: " But I have heard much less about how to speak the right sorts of "codes" to the moderates and independents that show how they too can identify with core Democratic values, without simply implying (or worse) that they are stupid and/or unprincipled."
I think you are over analyzing it. There are no codes or techniques that are as useful as the truth as one sees and presents it. Codes and techniques are transparent, leaving the message diluted at best and disregarded at worst. What the soft middle third is looking for at this point in time is truth and accountability. We have been living a nightmare of cockups for six years with no progress on any front (domestic or foreign). The public wants the democratic party to step into the breach and tell them "we will lead" not "well, if some of us in the party get a backbone, we might be able too..." A simple unified message with no room for "yes, but..." Kerry lost the election using technique, had he walked across the street and confronted the "swift" fuckers in no uncertain terms; he would have won the election.
Time for the "five year plan" of retaking the party.
I've been (still am) a huge Lamont supporter through act blue and still do not see a clear path for us. Is it possible that Joe and his back channel supporters are trying to triangulate against us and re-enforcing the Democratic meme to ensure a status quo of incumbency? Goddamit I'm f*cking one pissed off "radical moderate" that is trying but losing patience with my party's power structure.