If Obama can't beat McCain, it will be in great part because the Democratic Party could not come together. And how could that happen? I can't figure it out. Any way you slice it, the choice is crystal clear. Obama and Clinton are so similar on so many of the important issues that we care about, and they stand in stark contrast with the policies of John McCain.
The primary is over, we have our nominee. It's time to come together to fight for the ideals that we hold so dear. It's time to come together to improve the lives of all Americans. It's time to come together, period.
Even if she is awarded delegates from Michigan and Florida, she is still going to lose. She is down by 166 pledged delegates (latest RCP count). She CANNOT catch up. It's mathematics.
She would have netted 38 from Florida, and 73 from Michigan, 55 were uncommitted. How many of those uncommitted would end up going to Obama, probably most of them but for purposes of this exercise, we won't even count them.
166 - 38 - 73 = 55.
She would still be behind by around 55 pledged delegates.
It's extremely difficult, if not impossible to make up 55 delegates with the schedule remaining. The Slate calculator is not accurate by the way.
She has natural advantages in PA (158), KY (51), WV (28), and PR (55). He has natural advantages in NC (115), OR (52), MT (16), SD (15). Indiana (72) is a tossup and Guam (4) is irrelevant.
Bottom line: Obama will be ahead in pledged delegates after every vote is counted whether you count FL and MI or not.
And do you really think the Democratic Party is going to sacrifice itself by overturning the will of the people and alienating African-Americans and young people? That adds up to a 10 point McCain win in November, and the superdelegates know this. For the sake of the party, they will fall in line and cast their votes for the pledged delegate leader: your 2008 Democratic nominee, Barack Obama.
This is such a stupid diary. Those emails are sent to supporters. Regardless of party affiliation, those people plan on voting for Obama in the primary and in the general election. He isn't gaming anything here, he's just trying to turn out his support.
"Now what?" is that it will still take a mathematical miracle for her to win.
The results of today aren't even important, as it relates to who wins the nomination. Everyone has worked themselves into a frenzy but the numbers don't lie. This is over; it has been since February 12th.
Before today, she would have to win all 16 remaining contests by an average of 58-42 to pull ahead in delegates. Yes, that's right. If she won every contest from here on out by 14 or 15 points, she loses.
If she fails to cut into the delegate lead today, she would need to win the remaining 12 contests by an average of 63-37 to pull ahead. And that's with South Dakota, Montana, Oregon, North Carolina, Wyoming, and Mississippi left, all likely Obama states.
Add on top of that, Obama supposedly having about 50 superdelegate endorsements ready to announce tomorrow, and the announcement of massive fundraising totals for February. The outlook is bleak for Hillary. She will be under enormous presure to bow out, and she will do what's best for the party. I think she'll drop out later this week.