It is fun to think of a cycle where the seats have the following odds of flipping:
New Hampshire/open--at least 50%
Missouri/open--at least 50%
Ohio/open--at least 45%
unanticipated first other--30-45%
unanticipated second other--5-25%
In a typical cycle the Dems would lose one seat, although holding everything seems distinctly possible.
But the GOP could lose six to eight seats, maybe more.
One of the observations I've heard is the U.S. House sucks if you're in the minority because you're just not that relevant.
Being in the minority in the U.S. Senate is better b/c of the filibuster. But if you're facing being in a minority that's unable to sustain a filibuster, it's got to be tempting to either go make the big bucks or "spend time with family".
It sounds harsh, but have you considered the possibility Zionism is a failure? Or never really could work?
What's the belief system that underpins Zionism?
"Gentiles have the ability to commit genocide against Jews because anti-semitism is so pervasive in human culture, therefore Jews need a Jewish state to protect against genocide and human rights abuses."
Of course, Zionism wouldn't work if the United States wasn't enabling Israel. Israel wouldn't have the money or the political protection, especially at the United Nations.
So, Zionism is only viable if the United States makes an affirmative effort to prop up Zionism.
But if the United States is so invested in the welfare of Jews, why does the world need a Zionist state?
If country X was perpetrating human rights abuses against Jews and the Jews were allowed to leave, wouldn't these Jewish refugees be just as safe in the United States as they would be in Israel?
How many Jews get killed for being Jewish every year in the United States? Zero, right?
How many Jews get killed for being Jewish in every year in Israel? More than zero, right?
So, it seems that Israel is a failure at its raison d'etre. It fails to protect Jews against being fucked with because they are Jewish.
And then there's the issue of the human rights abuses of Palestinians necessary to implement Zionism. In order for the Israelis to show the Palestinians which side is dominant and which side needs to be the supplicant, Israel continues to heap indignities, human rights violations, threats and actual violence on the Palestinians.
And with the expansion of settlements since 1993, there is no viable two-state solution that will be acceptable to both sides.