OR-Sen Gordon Smith Can't Win
by BPK80, Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 11:55:06 PM EST
Sorry for the short entry but I went number crunching. Gordon Smith can't pull this thing out. Merkley is running ahead of John Kerry in every single county in the state, convincingly.
With 71% reporting, it's 47/47%.
Where are the outstanding votes?
The most underreported counties are Multnomah and Lane, home to Portland and Eugene.
The pattern is overwhelmingly obvious; Gordon Smith is running about 5 points statewide behind George Bush, who himself lost Oregon by 4% in 2004.
We have this seat in the bag. Looking at the map and pretending otherwise is like calling Ohio for Obama and pretending McCain can somehow win.