• Yes. He'll win. In fact, he'll win very big. And he'll do it with a majority of the people who support or have supported Hillary Clinton throughout the primaries.

    All I have to do is look at the current polls, all of which show a virtual tie and project out a 1-3% rise per week in the polls for Obama as soon as Clinton retires from the race and he can focus solely on McCain.

    You see, even with the toning down of rhetoric by the Clinton campaign, Obama's people have to be prepared for an attack from both flanks at all times. When he is no longer diverted by someone from his own party, he will be able to concentrate all of his energies on McCain. It would be the same if the tables were turned and Clinton were leading right now; she would be forced to remain wary of Obama until she could concentrate her fire on McCain full time.  

    I'm not concerned in the least about November, no matter who we have as a nominee, because no matter how upset people are with the opposition in their own party, one would have to be sociopathic to rationalize voting for McCain (or not voting at all) out of spite.

  • and Lucianne Goldberg are both linking to the same article. How fucking ironic is that?

  • It's an editorial (not "article") that speculates on how Al Qaeda (not the "Muslim world") might (not "would") view and react to (see propagandize) an Obama presidency.

    It's about as interesting as most speculation on Islam that comes out of the Heritage Foundation.

    BTW, the CS article you reference...it's apparently Lucianne Goldberg's favorite recent piece as well. Birds of a feather...

  • in the nomination contest. I see those Clinton supporters who use selective evidence as engaging in irrational behavior; that behavior is being stoked by Jerome and the echo chamber of rabid Clinton supporters here.

    And I'm not going to ask for the graciousness of people to vote in their own best interest. It seems a bit patronizing to think that someone wants me to rub their head, tell them it will be okay and then re-explain all the reasons for supporting Obama that have already been hashed out here for six months.  

    Fortunately for me, your hypothetical has no bearing in reality. I don't even have to consider how I'd react if a Clinton supporter asked for my vote then spit on my shoe.

    I will indulge you just a bit to say that I wouldn't use the threat of voting against my self-interest out of spite as a threat against the nominee I didn't support, though. I would've held my tongue and my nose and voted for Clinton.

  • on a comment on Jersey Girl NAILS It over 6 years ago

    You said this

    Every proven, credible, well regarded electoral vote projection group has Clinton beating McCain, and McCain beating Obama.

    and then proceeded provide one electoral map as evidence of your claim (one poll which relies on the same flawed methodology as Jerome's front page piece of shit).

    I think the SUSA poll from March is far more credible than either of those examples, and it shows both Dems beating McCain, Obama having a negligibly higher total.

  • how earlier you were saying that America hates the media, but now you're comparing which of two media personalities is more popular. That's too funny.

  • Nitpicking proof now?  Pretty typical behavior from your side.

  • on a comment on Jersey Girl NAILS It over 6 years ago

  • I could easily have not been snarky and pointed out that Claire Shipman and Cokie Roberts have shown as much bias for Hillary as the people you mentioned were showing such for Obama. I'm sure if I really thought about it, I could come up with others as well.

    As for America's hate of the media, I think you're projecting your own hate for the media onto the larger population. Look at the ratings. They don't hate them on near the scale as you'd like to believe.

    If you think Wright is going to be a huge issue in the GE, then I hope your prescience pays off for you, but my crystal ball says it's a non-issue. Since I doubt either one of us has the powers you suggest, I guess we'll just have to wait and see what happens in the general. I'll put my prediction that the nominee will be Obama against your hope that Clinton will be any day, though.

  • let's not get into a pissing contest about the most sanctimonious person on MyDD. I'd consider myself in the running, but we'd all lose to Jerome.

  • Rush Limbaugh.

  • but this is the same crew who uses polls from February to show that Clinton could win WV in the GE.

  • on a comment on 75,000 Attend Obama Rally! over 6 years ago

    Your pain will be over soon enough.

  • on a comment on Jersey Girl NAILS It over 6 years ago

    Standing rule is that the winner of the nomination needs 2025. Unless or until the RBC of the DNC makes a change on May 31, then the nomination of the party can be secured with the standing number.

    Keep that in mind because with the 55-60 pledged delegates he's likely to pick up in KY and OR, that will leave Obama with around 45 needed to win the nomination. If he continues picking up SDs at the rate he has been (4-5/day) over the next 11 days, he'll secure the nomination before the RBC even meets.

  • comment on a post A Chat With An Old Friend over 6 years ago

    this is a case in point for an argument I made earlier. If alegre is coordinating with the Clinton campaign, shouldn't it be made clear in her diaries that she has an active role with them?

    This is, of course, taking a leap of faith to suggest that I believe that, a) she's not creating an importance for herself that doesn't exist and/or b) the Clinton campaign is so desperate that they would use her in any capacity, even as a (really, really) low level operative.

    I don't think it's too much to ask that there is some clarification on alegre's connection to the Clinton campaign. According to this and a few other diaries, she's been privy to certain aspects of a campaign that are not within reach of a regular voter which suggests that she is subject to influence...and that's something that potential readers should know.

Diaries

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