Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

http://thepage.time.com/more-on-lifetime -womens-poll/

So the topline number is an unsurprising 49-38 lead for Obama over McCain among women voters interviewed by the Lifetime network.  The lead stems mainly from Obama's overwhelming performance among Hispanic and African-American women.  Obama still has some work to do with white women as he is trailing McCain 47-38, which is a larger deficit than Kerry had against Bush among white women.

The more interesting number is how these women responded when asked about either candidate taking a women as his running mate.  Surprisingly, 20% of these voters would be less likely to vote for McCain if he ran with a woman while 15% would be more likely to vote for him.  With Obama, 29% of these voters (twice as many as the number for McCain) indicated that they were more likely to vote for him if he did run with a woman while 15% would be less likely to vote for him.

As for those women interviewed who voted for HRC, 47% indicated that they were more likely to support Obama if he ran with a woman while only 4% said they were less likely to vote for him.

Favorable/Unfavorable among these voters: Obama 53/28, McCain 37/31

Ten percent remain undecided (I suppose that means 3% will vote third-party or not vote at all); if Obama splits this ten percent, he will end up defeating McCain by a 54-43 margin among women, which may the biggest disparity among this demographic group in quite some time.  McCain would probably need to win 70% of the white male vote (which may be possible and what McCain may be aiming for judging by the way he performed in Sturgis) to defeat Obama if Obama beat McCain by double digits among women.

Tags: Lifetime poll, mccain, obama (all tags)

Comments

23 Comments

Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among

How would 70% of white men be possible?  Obama is apparently leading among white working class men, and presumably college-age white men would go heavily for him.

by rfahey22 2008-08-05 07:32PM | 0 recs
He was leading

among white working class people in one poll, not necessarily white working-class men; other polls show that McCain has a good lead among white men, though Obama's lead among women overall is very healthy.

70% may be shooting a little too high but he'd have to beat Obama 2-to-1 among white men to win if he's losing to Obama among women overall by double-digits.  McCain looked like a complete moron during his Sturgis performance but I have to admit that the optics of the event and McCain screaming about drilling while dancing around the stage are exactly what appeals to the white male demographic.

by Blazers Edge 2008-08-05 07:46PM | 0 recs
my fellow straight white males

are a stupid bunch.

by JJE 2008-08-05 08:39PM | 0 recs
Re: my fellow straight white males

My white sisters aren't exactly the sharpest tools in the shed either.

by Jess81 2008-08-05 09:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

appeals to the white male demographic.

Wow wide brush, you almost hit me with this remark :) As a white male the demographic is a bit more than the Sturgis crowd.

by jsfox 2008-08-05 07:53PM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance

Yeah, I actually don't know any bikers myself.

by rfahey22 2008-08-05 07:56PM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

"As a white male the demographic is a bit more than the Sturgis crowd."

You'd think McDesperate would already have the try my chick Stugis crowd already locked down. That he had to go and make an ass of himself and his wife in front them speaks volumes about how low he knows his campaign is.

by Glaurung 2008-08-05 08:08PM | 0 recs
Yet another demographic...

...which Obama wasn't supposed to carry. I would hope the naysayers would finally realize how wrong they've been all along and act accordingly.

But then, that's assuming there was ever a shred of sincerity in their attacks.

by Glaurung 2008-08-05 08:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Yet another demographic...

Did you read the diary? It does not seem to support your conclusion.

Obama still has some work to do with white women as he is trailing McCain 47-38, which is a larger deficit than Kerry had against Bush among white women.
By the way, I am not one of those naysayers who say "Nay, nay, Obama cannot ever win because demographic x, y, and z will never vote for him." But what the diarist is trying to say is quite clear - Obama has some work to do winning the votes of white women. He can do it, and the poll results even suggest one way in which he could make significant progress with white women.

Why then, are you seeking to twist this honest, encouraging, yet challenging information into some sort of put down for anyone who has disagreed with you in the past about Obama's universal appeal?

Let us not look back in anger or forward in fear, but around in awareness." -- James Thurber.

by itsthemedia 2008-08-06 12:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Yet another demographic...

49-38 lead for Obama over McCain among women voters interviewed by the Lifetime network

What does it say about you that you think "white women" matter more than women as a whole?

by Glaurung 2008-08-06 07:47AM | 0 recs
Re: Yet another demographic...

What does it say about you that you accuse people of racism when you are losing an argument? That is some weak crap. I don't ever recall anybody saying Obama had a problem with women overall, or black women. The question has always been how he will do with Hillary's key demographics, one of which is white women.

by itsthemedia 2008-08-06 09:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Yet another demographic...

I didn't lose an argument, McLoser. I pointed out to you that Obama is leading among WOMEN voters in response your your inane observation that he's behind among (hard working women?) white women. People can draw their own conclusions as to what you were driving at.

by Glaurung 2008-08-06 10:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Yet another demographic...

Lets review, shall we? The diary was all about demographics. The gist of the diary (and the poll it quoted) was that Obama is doing OK with the female demographic as a whole, but still underperforming Kerry slightly among white women. The diarist quoted some interesting info from the poll about how white women might react to Obama nominating a female VP.

You comment was all about your triumphal vindication, and basically implied that all people everywhere who ever doubted Obama's mojo were either dead wrong or secret Republican trolls, or both.

I pointed out that the data in the poll did not support your emotional outburst. You implied I was a racist. I tried again to explain the diary to you. You replied with more puerile name calling. We are done now, I guess, because you are apparently incapable of having a rational discussion on this topic.

by itsthemedia 2008-08-07 11:56PM | 0 recs
Typical hysterical rant from a typical loser.

Obama leads and that's all that matters. You insist on continuing to divide people along racial lines, as Hillary's campaign did, in the idiotic hope of revealing some weakness of Obama's that can be touted. But at this point, such behavior can be engaged in only to McBush's benefit.

by Glaurung 2008-08-08 12:23AM | 0 recs
Re: Typical hysterical rant from a typical loser.

I am not dividing anybody, I am simply pointing out your intellectual dishonesty, and marveling at your incredible exploding head. You must be a very angry and unhappy person. I hope you feel better soon.

by itsthemedia 2008-08-08 08:45PM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

I understand that of men who have publicly referred to their wife as a 'cunt' McCain gets 110% of the vote whereas among women who havebeen publicly called a 'cunt' only one woman will vote for John McCain. The numbers are only slightly better for McCain among women who have voluntarily done the 'pickle dance' as part of their attempt to become Miss Buffalo Chip.

No one thought it appropriate to ask the vast majority of Obama supporters such questions, since their crania had actual brain cells living inside of them.

by QTG 2008-08-05 08:09PM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

Uprated. Didn't deserve that hit in MHO.

by RickWn 2008-08-06 12:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

I get why you keep bringing up the issue of McCain in LOTS of diaries. McCain treats his wife like crap. That being said; you have no problem with the way Edwards treats his wife. A little hypocritical don't you think?

by soyousay 2008-08-06 04:23AM | 0 recs
"That being said"?

Why are you willing to look past McCain's treatment of his wives? He has a pattern of doing it. It's not something you can wave your hands at and claim it's noted.

by Neef 2008-08-06 04:42AM | 0 recs
Re: "That being said"?

Why are you willing to look past McCain's treatment of his wives?
I'm not, I just wrote that McCain treats his wife like crap and I agree with you in reference to his former wife.

...and now John Edwards is treating his wife like crap.

by soyousay 2008-08-06 04:49AM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

What's Edwards running for again?

by niksder 2008-08-06 11:38AM | 0 recs
Re: Lifetime poll: Obama's performance among women

Very Interesting! REC

by Politicalslave 2008-08-05 10:21PM | 0 recs
STP=Screw the Polls, Screw the Pundits....

Well, I really am not that poll focused, we keep slicing and dicing.

I do believe, the overriding demographic in this election is age, that is, if you slice all these Obama doing well/Obama doing poorly, there is a strong fault line above and below the baby-boomer demographic.

IF he is doing weak amongst white voters, women voters, it tends to be intensified the farther they are above that boomer fault line.

by WashStateBlue 2008-08-06 09:18AM | 0 recs

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