• on a comment on Barack Obama's 50-State Campaign over 6 years ago

    I Really do believe that if McCain ignores Obama's REAL red state threat, Obama will win a few.

  • 17-64 year olds are not a solid bloc?
    You know, the demographic that Obama won by 61% in Indiana and 74% in NC?
  • A guarenteed bloc of supporters?

    You mean, 17-64 year olds?

    You know, the demographic that Obama won by 61% in Indiana and 74% in NC?

  • on a comment on "Split Decision" over 6 years ago

    Therefore, she could conceivably win the popular vote after June 3rd including Florida and Michigan. The only way she couldn't win is if the supers decide to nominate the candidate with the most pledged delegates. However, some of these supers have indicated they would be willing to vote for Hillary if she could somehow get the delegate count down to a roughly 100 or less difference, which is not out of the question.

    -----------------

    "Some"

    But even if they break for clinton 3:2, Obama still wins.

    And given that they've been breaking for OBAMA 3:1  over the past month or two, I doubt that will happen.

  • comment on a post "Split Decision" over 6 years ago

    will change anything, please stop deluding yourself. We need your support and continuing to try to find some sort of rationale behind Clinton's near-impossible path to victory is to help.

    Florida will be seated at the same penalty as republicans, 50% delegates, it won't change anything.

    Even if Michigan is seated as is (which it likely wont be), Obama's gotten almost enough delegates to match his popular vote % in the state. Then, if you take into account that they will probably be half seated, then that is down the chute too, not a game changer by any means.

    The number will be between the Obama number and Hillary number, but Hillary has ensured that she will NOT win the popular vote or the pledged delegate race.

    Just please... save your money for the general. We DEMOCRATS will need to pull together and end this then. McCain is about to be turned on by Hillary AND Obama, and it wont be pretty for him.

  • on a comment on Never Gonna Give Him Up? over 6 years ago

    A problem with the white working class? MCCAIN has a problem with the white working class. Just because Obama couldn't win them against Clinton, doesn't mean he wont win them against McCain in most states:

    If this is true, then why is Obama polling ahead of McCain in....

    Colorado
    Indiana (According to the most recent poll)
    Iowa (consistantly)
    Nevada
    Oregon
    Washington (both of the 2 above are scarlet, and Clinton keeps both close/loses them)
    Pennsylvania
    Wisconsin (clinton loses here)
    Michigan (clinton loses here too)

    I mean, dude, this is really much adieu about nothing.

  • on a comment on Never Gonna Give Him Up? over 6 years ago

    If this is true, then why is Obama polling ahead of McCain in....

    Colorado
    Indiana (According to the most recent poll)
    Iowa (consistantly)
    Nevada
    Oregon
    Washington (both of the 2 above are scarlet, and Clinton keeps both close/loses them)
    Pennsylvania
    Wisconsin (clinton loses here)
    Michigan (clinton loses here too)

    I mean, dude, this is really much adieu about nothing.

  • on a comment on Never Gonna Give Him Up? over 6 years ago

    Obama does, does not mean that Obama won't carry whites better than McCain does.

    You're pushing a fallacy of logic here.

    Both Obama AND Clinton can count on white voters in many democratic stronghold states.

    Just look at the many polls out that have both candidates whooping McCain.

  • not responding to you, just the general thread as a whole. Sorry.

  • And also, he is polling (statistically speaking) even with McCain in Ohio and Michigan, so more states are in play under Obama.

  • He is polling even with McCain in Indiana, putting it into play.
    He is tied in north carolina with McCain, putting it into play.
    He is BEATING McCain in Pennsylvania, so I don't know where you're getting this "he probably wont win PA" from.

    He is winning in Iowa, winning in Colorado, polling even in Nebraska, New Mexico, South Carolina.

    Clinton meanwhile is losing badly in Wisconsin and Michigan, and north carolina. She is polling EVEN with mccain in WASHINGTON AND OREGON.

    I see NO reason why BOTH candidates cannot win.

    They both just do it differently.

    So stop peddling this myth.

  • Then Hillary was... 13-tuple humiliated, huh?

  • Oh yeah.
    Man, the fact that Hillary needs 71% instead of 66% in the remaining states...

    Why couldn't Obama just make it so that Hillary needs 100% instead of 66% int he remaining states.

    He's such a dismal failure.

    Those 10 net delegates are gonna hurt Obama so much.

  • Obama performs just as well against McCain in Pennsylvania.

    Clinton performs better than Obama in Florida and Michigan, the same states that we've been fighting over for election after election.

    On the other hand, Here are the battleground states according to the latest polls that Obama performs better than hillary in AND has a chance of winning (meaning, a margin of less than 5% difference vs McCain, or better (he is outright winning many of these in polls)):

    better in:
    Nevada
    Colorado
    New Mexico
    Iowa
    North Carolina
    Wisconsin
    Oregon
    Washington
    Nebraska (According to a recent poll)
    South carolina (according to a recent poll)
    Michigan (According to recent polls)

    MANY More than Clinton's little  Ohio and Florida argument

  • Yeah, pretty comforting. Not nearly as comforting as the 10 net delegates Clinton got in PA.

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