Prediction, or post mortem
by anna shane, Tue Nov 04, 2008 at 07:47:40 AM EST
I think it's safe to say Barack has won in a landslide. There are still some nervous Nellie's and those who are superstitious and don't want to jinx the vote who refuse to start celebrating 'too soon,' but hey, I call it, it's over.
And here's why:
Barack was tied with John in early September and although Bill Clinton predicted he'd win handily, it was hardly a done deal then.
Here's why he won:
(1) The long primary - john McCain was not getting any press during the primary season, it was 24/7 Hillary and Barack, they dominated the news and let us all forget about George Bush. (I think the voters were grateful for the early respite. Plus, a lot of it was funny.)
(2) Because John got no press he picked Sarah, to liven things up. He wrongly thought women are replaceable (not the first time he's made that mistake) so he tried to kill two birds with one stone - he gave us a girl Bush. Sarah and Bush are the same person, incurious, pig-headed, vindictive, utterly incapable of mastering the job of president. No one reminded the voters that this election is about Bush's big mess more than John when he irresponsibly choose Sarah.
(3) Hillary's campaign. Barack not only took over her huge group of experts and professionals, some who came out of retirement to help make the day one plans, he also took over her wonk identity and her 'it's a job, hire me' identity. Americans actually vote on competence factors, who knew? She field tested it.
(4) My 401K. Bush wrecked the economy some time back, but until the meltdown it was possible to 'hope' things wouldn't be so bad. No more, it's really really bad. I lost most of my 401K which I feel I donated to the Democrats, and which I think was worth it.
(5) John's base. (how embarrassing). Normal Republicans don't want to be identified with the 'good Americans' who spew hate and ignorance at John and Sarah rallies (which may be why hardly anyone attends them now).
And last but not least,
(6) Pugs won't go to the polls. It's all over the news, long lines, lawyers, voter intimidation, it's not a place for a dignified GOP member who knows John won't win anyway to spend hours of tense time.
So, Good Luck Barack, you'll be getting lots of help and we all want you to be the best president. We've just had the worst one, we want the best one.